Numerical Experiment on the Impacts of Urban Land Expansion in Nanning on the Heavy Precipitation Process of a Low Vortex Type

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  • Nanning Meteorological BureauNanning 530028GuangxiChina

Online published: 2025-02-24

Abstract

In recent yearsthe urbanization process of Nanning has accelerated significantlybut at the same timeheavy precipitation has also shown a trend of frequent occurrence and increased extremity. To this endthis study used the Weather Research and Forecasting system coupled with Urban Canopy ModelWRF-UCM),the ERA5 reanalysis dataand sensitivity test to simulate the heavy precipitation process of a low vortex type in Nanning in May 2022. Results show that:(1After updating the land use information and coupling the urban canopy modelthe simulation results of 6-hour cumulative rainfall are consistent with the observed results in the spatiotemporal distributionand more accurately reflect the evolution of precipitation intensity in the main urban area; (2Under the background of hilly basin topographythe circumfluence effect and the intensification of the heat island effectboth resulting from changes in surface characteristics driven by Nanning's urban land expansionare the main factors contributing to precipitation changeswhich causes the occurrence time of heavy precipitation to increase by 1~2 hours and the precipitation increase by 10%~30% from the main urban area to the down‐ wind area 20kmand the precipitation in the southern suburbs and upwind area decreases by about 15%;(3In the development stage of precipitation processthe decrease of latent heat flux and convective effective potential energyCAPEcaused by urban land expansion will inhibit the development of deep convective precipitationbut the urban heat island effect caused by the increase of sensible heat and surface soil heat flux in urban areasas well as the enhancement of urban surface friction and circumfluence on the convergence and uplift of near-sur‐ face airflowpromote the increase of cloud and rainfall content and the new development of convective clouds in the front of the low vortexresulting in the early occurrence of heavy precipitation in urban areas and downwind areas. In the later stage of the precipitation processthe enhanced airflow caused by the proximity of the center of the low vortex makes the effect of circumfluence more obviousand the re-evaporation of surface water vapor caused by the enhancement of precipitation and the increase of latent heat of condensation at 925~700 hPa have a positive feedback effect on the enhancement of the low vortexwhich jointly drives the development of warm cloud precipitation process and improves the precipitation efficiencyand the development of local circulation in the city promotes the mutual transformation of ice particles and rainwater in convective cloudsresulting in the maintenance of convective cloud intensity. As a resultthe duration of heavy precipitation is prolongedresulting in an increase in accumulated rainfall.

Cite this article

LU Ningsheng, TANG Yaoguo, ZHANG Dingding, ZHOU Yan . Numerical Experiment on the Impacts of Urban Land Expansion in Nanning on the Heavy Precipitation Process of a Low Vortex Type[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 0 : 1 . DOI: 10. 7522/j. issn. 1000-0534. 2024. 00115

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