Based on the hourly precipitation data at 23 weather stations in Shaanxi Province from 1961 to 2011, the frequency and intensity of hourly precipitation and extreme hourly precipitation from May to September are analyzed. The results show that: (1) Hourly precipitation frequencies decreased in the north and southwest region of Shaanxi Province, but increased in Guanzhong and the southeast region of the province in flood season in the recent 51 years. The trends of average rainfall intensity in most parts of Shaanxi Province are increasing. The average rainfall hours varies in phrase, and has no clear trend. The intensities of precipitation vary with time have an increasing trend. (2) The trends of extreme hourly precipitation frequencies and intensity are similar and increasing. (3) The daily changes of precipitation are different from north to south. The peak of rainfall mainly occurs in the afternoon in the north of Shaanxi, and in the morning in the south. The daily change of precipitation is small in Guanzhong. The increasing trends of extreme hourly precipitation and its frequencies are more significant during 03:00-10:00 (Beijing time)and it will cause more disaster, especially at night.
CAI Xinling
,
YE Dianxiu
,
SUN Xian
,
LI Ying
,
MAO Mingce
,
ZHAO Xiaomeng
. Hourly Precipitation Variability Features in Shaanxi Province in Flood Season during 1961-2011[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2014
, 33(6)
: 1618
-1626
.
DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2013.00110
[1]杨金虎, 江志红, 王鹏祥, 等, 中国年极端降水事件的时空分布特征[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2008, 13(1): 75-83.
[2]常军, 王永光, 赵宇, 等. 近50年黄河流域降水量及雨日的气候变化特征[J]. 高原气象, 2014, 33(1): 43-54, doi: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2012.00177.
[3]张琪, 李跃清. 近48年西南地区降水量和雨日的气候变化特征[J]. 高原气象, 2014, 33(2): 372-383, doi: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2013.00032.
[4]Kandel D D, Western A W, Grayson R B, et al. Process parameterization and temporal scaling in surface runoff and erosion modeling[J]. Hydrol Process, 2004, 18: 1423-1446.
[5]殷水清, 高歌, 李维京, 等. 1961-2004 年海河流域夏季逐时降水变化趋势[J]. 中国科学, 2012, 42(2): 256-266.
[6]Lenderink G, Van Meijgaard E. Increase in hourly precipitation extremes beyond expectations from temperature changes[J]. Nature Geoscience, 2008, 1: 511-514.
[7]Yu Rucong, Zhou Tianjun, Xiong Anyuan,et al.Diurnal variations of summer precipitation over contiguous China[J]. Geophys Res Lett, 2007, 34, L01704.
[8]白爱娟, 刘晓东, 刘长海. 青藏高原与四川盆地夏季降水日变化的对比分析[J]. 高原气象, 2011, 30(4): 852-859.
[9]李建, 宇如聪, 王建捷, 北京市夏季降水的日变化特征[J].科学通报, 2008, 53(7): 829-832.
[10]Shouraseni S R .A spatial analysis of extreme hourly precipitation patterns in India[J]. Int J Climatol, 2009, 29: 345-355.
[11]张焕, 翟盘茂, 唐红玉. 1961- 2000 年西南地区小时降水变化特征[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2011, 7(1): 8-13.
[12]姚莉, 赵声蓉, 赵翠光, 等. 我国中东部逐时雨强时空分布及重现期的估算[J]. 地理学报, 2010, 65(3): 293-300.
[13]陶云, 唐川. 人类活动和降水变化对滑坡泥石流中长期演变的影响[J]. 高原气象, 2012, 31(5): 1454-1460.
[14]李明, 高维英, 杜继稳, 等. 远距离台风影响下的陕西大暴雨分析[J]. 干旱区研究, 2011, 28(3): 514-515.
[15]陕西救灾年鉴[M]. 西安: 陕西科学技术出版社, 2011: 92-98.
[16]曲晓波, 张涛, 刘鑫华, 等. 舟曲“8.8”特大山洪泥石流灾害气象成因分析[J]. 气象, 2010, 36(10): 102-105.
[17]廖留峰, 汤懋苍, 高晓清. 2010年我国天灾预测结果的回顾[J]. 高原气象, 2012, 31(1): 144-149.
[18]慕建利, 李泽春, 李耀辉. 高原东侧特大暴雨过程中秦岭山脉的作用[J]. 高原气象, 2009, 28(6): 1282-1290.
[19]梁生俊, 马晓华. 西北地区东部两次典型大暴雨个例对比分析[J]. 气象, 2012, 38(7): 804-812.
[20]潘留杰, 张宏芳, 王楠, 等. 陕西一次强对流天气过程的中尺度及雷达观测分析[J]. 高原气象, 2013, 32(1): 278-289, doi: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2013.00027.
[21]慕建利, 李泽春, 赵琳娜, 等. “07.08”陕西关中短历时强暴雨水汽条件分析[J]. 高原气象, 2012, 31(4): 1042-1052.
[22]Yin S Q, Chen D, Xie Y. Diurnal variations of precipitation during the warm season over China[J]. Int J Climatol, 2009, 29: 1154-1170.
[23]魏凤英. 现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M]. 北京, 气象出版社, 2007: 37-40.