Relation between Heavy Precipitation Process and Atmospheric Low-Frequency Oscillation in the Eastern Part of Northwest China

  • LIU Yuanpu ,
  • SUN Guowu ,
  • FENG Jianying ,
  • LI Yaohui ,
  • WANG Zhilan
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  • Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Changing and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province, Key Laboratory of Arid Change and Disaster Reduction of CMA, Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou 730020, China

Received date: 2014-03-05

  Online published: 2016-02-28

Abstract

The precipitation,wind,relative vorticity and OLR were filtered of 30~50 days period with Butterworth band-pass filter.Analyzed the low frequency characters of heavy precipitation and the relationship between heavy precipitation and atmospheric low-frequency in the eastern part of northwest China.The results indicated that the precipitation occurred from middle ten days of June to middle ten days of September,especially at the end of June July and August during May to September 2012.There was occurred about 30 days period oscillation at this precipitation period,and the heavy precipitation occurred at the positive phase of the low-frequency filtered curve.The heavy precipitation occurred at the diffuse period of southern low-frequency wind which followed the convergence of northern and southern low-frequency wind;it also occurred at the positive phase of 30~50 days oscillation relative vorticity;and also occurred at negative phase of convective activity which was the severe convection region.The heavy precipitation was formed from convective oscillation's negative phase diffused from southern and eastern to this region.Used atmospheric low-frequency approach to forecast heavy precipitation in the eastern part of northwest China.It showed that the forecast accuracy can reach to 67%,and the forecast effectiveness was 10-30 days in recent 4 years.It joined forecast time gap of weather and climate.

Cite this article

LIU Yuanpu , SUN Guowu , FENG Jianying , LI Yaohui , WANG Zhilan . Relation between Heavy Precipitation Process and Atmospheric Low-Frequency Oscillation in the Eastern Part of Northwest China[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2016 , 35(1) : 86 -93 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2014.00126

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