Analysis of Extreme Temperature Changes in China based on the Homogeneity-Adjusted Data

  • WANG Dai ,
  • YOU Qinglong ,
  • JIANG Zhihong ,
  • WU Wenbo ,
  • JIAO Yang
Expand
  • Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education /Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change /Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China

Received date: 2015-08-06

  Online published: 2016-10-28

Abstract

Based on homogeneity-adjusted and quality-control daily maximum, minimum and mean temperature data of 693 meteorological stations in China from 1961 to 2014, then divided the area of China into several regions due to the spatial variability of extreme temperature, and analyzed the change characteristic of 11 extreme temperature indices (were defined by World Meteorological Organization) by linear trend and cumulative departure methods. The result shows that an increasing trend occurs on extreme high temperature indices (including extra-maximum air temperature, summer days, warm nights, warm days, a continuous warm stage and the growing season length) in all regions, while extreme low temperature indices (including extra-minimum air temperature, frost days, cold nights, cold days and continuous cold stage) present a decreasing trend, except for extraminimum air temperature, which shows a trend of increase. Among them, the degree of change of extreme temperature indices in night is the greatest (increase of warm nights and decrease of cold nights are the most significant). Furthermore, in most of regions of each index have an obvious trend turning. The turning time of extreme high temperature indices is nearly in 1995 to 1998, while extreme low temperature indices is nearly in 1985 to 1986 and 1995. Extreme high temperature indices show a decreasing/increasing trend before/after turning, but extreme low temperature indices are adverse, except for extra-maximum air temperature that is increased/decreased before/after turning. There is a significant correlation between all extreme indices with average temperature nearly in all regions. The correlation between the threshold indices with average temperature is the most significant.

Cite this article

WANG Dai , YOU Qinglong , JIANG Zhihong , WU Wenbo , JIAO Yang . Analysis of Extreme Temperature Changes in China based on the Homogeneity-Adjusted Data[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2016 , 35(5) : 1352 -1363 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2016.00019

References

[1]Donat M G, Alexander L V, Yang H, et al.2013.Updated analyses of temperature and precipitation extreme indices since the beginning of the twentieth century:The HadEX2 dataset[J].J Geophys Res Atmos, 118(5):2098-2118.
[2]Easterling D R, Wehner M F.2009.Is the climate warming or cooling? [J].J Geophys Res Lett, 36(8):L08706.
[3]Fatemeh R, Ahmad A, Ebrahim F.2009.Variability of extreme temperature and precipitation in Iran during recent decades[J].Inter J Climatol, 29(3):329-343.
[4]IPCC.2013.Climate change 2013:The physical science basic contribution of working group 1 to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental Panel on climate change[M].Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, USA:Cambridge University Press.
[5]Kosaka Y, Xie S P.2013.Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling[J].Nature, 501(7467):403-407.
[6]Li Q X, Yang S, Xu W H, et al.2015.China experiences the recent warming hiatus[J].Geophys Res Lett, 42(3):889-898.
[7]Lucie A V, éva M.2014.Changes in daily and extreme temperature and precipitation indices for Canada over the twentieth century[J].Atmosphere-Ocean, 44(2):177-193.
[8]Michael L G, Raymond S B.2007.Variations of twentieth-century temperature and precipitation extreme indicators in the Northeast United States[J].J Climate, 20(21):5401-5417.
[9]Nogaj M, Yiou P, Parey S, et al.2006.Amplitude and frequency of temperature extremes over the North Atlantic region[J].Geophys Res Lett, 33(10):L10801.
[10]Qian W H, Lin X.2004.Regional trends in recent temperature indices in China[J].Climate Res, 27(2):119-134.
[11]Sun Y, Zhang X B, Francis W, et al.2014.Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China[J].Nature Climate Change, 4(12):1082-1085.
[12]Tannecia S S, Lucie A V, Theodore A, et al.2014.Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Caribbean region, 1961-2010[J].Inter J Climatol, 34(9):2957-2971.
[13]Xu W H, Li Q X, Wang X L, et al.2013.Homogenization of Chinese daily surface air temperatures and analysis of trends in the extreme temperature indices[J].J Geophys Res:Atmospheres, 118(17):9708-9720.
[14]You Q L, Kang S C, Aguilar E, et al.2011.Changes in daily climate extremes in China and their connection to the large scale atmospheric circulation during 1961-2003[J].Climate Dyn, 36 (11/12):2399-2417.
[15]Zhou L M, Dai A G, Dai Y G, et al.2009.Spatial dependence of diurnal temperature range trends on precipitation from 1950 to 2004[J].Climate Dyn, 32(2/3):429-440.
[16]Zhou Y Q, Ren G Y.2011.Change in extreme temperature event frequency over main land China, 1961-2008[J].Climate Res, 50(2/3):125-139.
[17]Du Jun, Lu Hongya, Jian Jun.2013.Variations of extreme temperature events over Tibet from 1961 to 2010[J].Acta Geograph Sinica, 58(9):1269-1280.<br/>杜军, 路红亚, 建军.2013.1961-2010年西藏极端气温事件的时空变化[J].地理学报, 58(9):1269-1280.
[18]Fu Dongxue, Sun Zhaobo, Li Zhongxian, et al.2011.Spatial and temporal features of China extreme minimum temperature in winter half year during 1955-2006[J].Sci Meteor Sinica, 31(3):274-281.<br/>付冬雪, 孙照渤, 李忠贤, 等.2011.1955-2006冬半年中国极端低温的时空变化特征[J].气象科学, 31(3):274-281.
[19]Gao Yan, Feng Qi, Li Zongxing, et al.2014.The variation of climate extremes in the Taolaihe River Basin in the Qilian Mountains of China during 1957-2012[J].J Desert Research, 34(3):814-826.<br/>高妍, 冯起, 李宗省, 等.2014.祁连山讨赖河流域1957-2012年极端气候变化[J].中国沙漠, 34(3):814-826.
[20]Gong Daoyi, Han Hui.2004.Extreme climate events in North China over the Last 50 years[J].Acta Geograph Sinica, 59(2):230-238.<br/>龚道溢, 韩晖.2004.华北农牧交错带夏季极端气候的趋势分析[J].地理学报, 59(2):230-238.
[21]Gong Zhiqiang, Wang Xiaojuan, Zhi Rong, et al.2009.Regional characteristics of temperature changes in China during the past 58 years and its probable correlation with abrupt temperature change[J].Acta Physica Sinica, 58(6):4342-4353.<br/>龚志强, 王晓娟, 支蓉, 等.2009.中国近58年温度极端事件的区域特征及其与气候突变的联系[J].物理学报, 58(6):4342-4353.
[22]He Shengping, Wang Huijun.2012.An integrated East Asian winter monsoon index and its interannual variability[J].Chinese J Atmos Sci, 36(3):523-538.<br/>贺圣平, 王会军.2012.东亚冬季风综合指数及其表达的东亚冬季风年际变化特征[J].大气科学, 36(3):523-538.
[23]Huang Qiang, Chen Zishen.2014.Regional study on the trends of extreme temperature and precipitation events in the Peral River Basin[J].Adv Earth Science, 29(8):956-967.<br/>黄强, 陈子燊.2014.全球变暖背景下珠江流域极端气温与降水事件时空变化的区域研究[J].地球科学进展, 29(8):956-967.
[24]Jia Hongyuan, Chen Yanjie, Zhou Cuifang.2015.Characteristics analysis of winter extremely cold events during recent 52 Years in Ningxia[J].Plateau Meteor, 34(2):455-462.DOI:10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2013.00200.<br/>贾宏元, 程彦杰, 周翠芳.2015.近52年宁夏冬季极端寒冷事件的演变特征[J].高原气象, 34(2):455-462.
[25]Liu Jifeng, Li Shijie, Ding Yuguo, et al.2006.The discussion of the characteristic zoning method of extreme temperature in China in recent decades[J].J Mountain Science, 24(3):291-297.<br/>刘吉峰, 李世杰, 丁裕国, 等.2006.近几十年我国极端气温变化特征分区方法探讨[J].山地学报, 24(3):291-297.
[26]Liu Lin, Xu Zongxue.2014.Spationemporal distribution of the extreme climate indices in the five Southwestern Provinces of China[J].Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 23(2):294-301.<br/>刘琳, 徐宗学.2014.西南5省市极端气候指数时空分布规律研究[J].长江流域资源与环境, 23(2):294-301.
[27]Liu Xuehua, Ji Zhijian, Wu Hongbao, et al.2006.Distributing characteristics and interdecadal difference of daily temperature and precipitation extremes in China for latest 40 years[J].J Trop Meteor, 22(6):618-624.<br/>刘学华, 季致建, 吴洪宝, 等.2006.中国近40年极端气温和降水的分布特征及年代际差异[J].热带气象学报, 22(6):618-624.
[28]Liu Yaxing, Fan Guangzhou, Zhu Yeyu, et al.2010.Spatial and temporal changes of extreme temperatures in winter of China during 1961-2006[C]//The 27<sup>th</sup> annual meeting of China meteorological society to address climate change at the venue-The eternal theme of human development.<br/>刘雅星, 范广洲, 朱叶玉, 等.2010.1961-2006年中国冬季极端温度的时空变化分析[C]//第27届中国气象学会年会应对气候变化分会场-人类发展的永恒主题论集.
[29]Niu Xu, Yan Junxia, Li Hongjian.2014.Characterization of general change patterns of extreme temperature from1951 to 2011 in Shanxi Province, China[J].J Arid Land Res Environ, 28(4):73-78.<br/>牛旭, 严俊霞, 李洪建.2014.1951-2011年山西省极端气温变化基本特征研究[J].干旱区资环与环境, 28(4):73-78.
[30]Ren Fumin, Zhai Panmao.1998.Analysis of the extreme temperature in China during 1951-1990[J].Chinese J Atmos Sci, 22(2):217-227.<br/>任福民, 翟盘茂.1998.1951-1990年中国极端气温变[J].大气科学, 22(2):217-227.
[31]Shi Jun, Ding Yihui, Cui Linli.2009.Climatic characteristics of extreme maximum temperature in East China and its causes[J].Chinese J Atmos Sci, 33(2):347-358.<br/>史军, 丁一汇, 崔林丽.2009.华东极端高温气候特征及成因分析[J].大气科学, 33(2):347-358.
[32]Sun Jianqi, Wang Huijun, Yuan Wei.2011.Decadalvariability of the extreme hot event in China and its association with atmospheric circuations[J].Climatic Environ Res, 16(2):199-208.<br/>孙建奇, 王会军, 袁薇.2011.我国极端高温事件的年代际变化及其与大气环流的联系[J].气候与环境研究, 16(2):199-208.
[33]Wang Baolong, Zhang Mingjun, Wei Junlin, et al.2012.The change in extreme events of temperature and precipitation over Northwest China in recent 50 years[J].J Natural Res, 27(10):1270-1733.<br/>汪宝龙, 张明军, 魏军林, 等.2012.西北地区近50a气温和降水极端事件的变化特征[J].自然资源学报, 27(10):1270-1733.
[34]Wang Cuihua, Li Xiong, Miu Qilong.2003.Variation characteristics of daily minimum air temperatures in China in the recent 50 years[J].Sci Geograph Sinica, 23(4):441-447.<br/>王翠花, 李雄, 缪启龙.2003.中国近50年来日最低气温变化特征研究[J].地理科学, 23(4):441-447.
[35]Wang Di, Hou Yahong, He Jinghai, et al.2014.Response of temperature to global warming hiatus in different regions and seasons[C]//The 31<sup>th</sup> annual meeting of meteorological society of China: Subtropical meteorological and ecological impact.<br/>王迪, 侯亚红, 何金海, 等.2014.不同地区和季节的温度对全球变暖减缓的响应[C]//第31届中国气象学会年会:副热带气象及生态环境影响.
[36]Wang Qiong, Zhang Mingjun, Wang Shengjie, et al.2013.Extreme temperature events in Yangtze River Basin during 1962-2011[J].Acta Geograph Sinica, 68(5):611-625.<br/>王琼, 张明军, 王圣杰, 等.2013.1962-2011年长江流域极端气温事件分析[J].地理学报, 68(5):611-625.
[37]Wei Fengying.1999.Modern Climatic Statistical Diagnosis and Forecasting Technology[M].Beijing:ChinaMeteorological Press.<br/>魏凤英.1999.现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M].北京:气象出版社.
[38]Wu Hongyu, Du Yaodong.2010.A symmetric changes of extreme temperature in South China in 1961-2008[J].Chinese J Ecology, 29(11):2241-2248.<br/>伍红雨, 杜尧东.2010.1961-2008年华南地区极端气温的非对称变化[J].生态学志, 29(11):2241-2248.
[39]Yang Yanjuan, Ren Yu, Guo Jun.2011.Variation trends of main extreme climatic indices from 1951 to 2009 in Tianjin[J].J Meteor Environ, 27(5):21-26.<br/>杨艳娟, 任雨, 郭军.2011.1951-2009年天津市主要极端气候指数变化趋势[J].气象与环境学报, 27(5):21-26.
[40]Zhang Ning, Sun Zhaobo, Zeng Gang.2008.Change of extreme temperature in China during 1955-2005[J].Trans Atmos Sci, 31(1):123-128.<br/>张宁, 孙照渤, 曾刚.2008.1955-2005年中国极端气温的变化[J].大气科学学报, 31(1):123-128.
[41]Zhao Jun, Shi Yinfang, Wang Dawei, et al.2012.Temporal and spatial changes of extreme temperatures in China during 1961-2008[J].J Arid Land Res Environ, 26(3):52-56.<br/>赵军, 师银芳, 王大为, 等.2012.1961-2008年中国大陆极端气温时空变化分析[J].干旱区资源与环境, 26(3):52-56.
[42]Zheng Zuofang, Ding Haiyan, Fan Yongyong.2011.Characteristics of climate warming and extreme temperature indices in Beijing over 1960-2008[J].Adv Climate Change Res, 7(3):189-196.<br/>郑祚芳, 丁海燕, 范永勇.2011.北京1960-2008年气候变暖及极端气温指数变化特征[J].气候变化研究进展, 7(3):189-196.
[43]Zhou Yaqing, Ren Guoyu.2014.Urbanization effect on long-term trends ofextreme temperature events in North China[J].Plateau Meteor, 33(6):1589-1598.DOI:10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2013.00153.<br/>周雅清, 任国玉.2014.城市化对华北地区极端气温事件频率的影响[J].高原气象, 33(6):1589-1598.
[44]Zhu Hongrui, Liu Henan.2011.Characteristics of extreme temperature events during 1961-2009 in Heilongjiang Province[J].Adv Climate Change Res, 7(2):110-115.<br/>朱红蕊, 刘赫男.2011.黑龙江省1961-2009年极端气温事件变化特征分析[J].气候变化研究进展, 7(2):110-115.
Outlines

/