Impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Autumn Rainfall in West China

  • ZHAO Jiayu ,
  • MA Zhenfeng ,
  • FAN Guangzhou
Expand
  • Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, China;Bozhou Meteorological Bureau, Bozhou 236800, China;Sichuan Climate Center, Chengdu 610072, China

Received date: 2015-04-22

  Online published: 2016-12-28

Abstract

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) plays a regulatory role on rainfall in China, studying the impact of MJO on autumn rainfall in West China has important significance for improving intraseasonal prediction ability of autumn rainfall in West China. Anomaly composite analyses have been conducted to investigate the impact of MJO on autumn rainfall in West China and the circulation background fields corresponding characteristics by using the real-time multivariate MJO index from Australian Meteorological Bureau and the daily rainfall of gauge stations in China and the daily NCEP reanalysis data from September to October during 1979-2012. The results show that autumn rainfall patterns change from enhanced to suppressed in West China when the main MJO convective body propagating from west to east. When the main MJO convective body is situated over the central and western Indian Ocean (at phase 1~2), autumn rainfall in West China is above normal level. When the main MJO convective body is situated over the eastern Indian Ocean and central and western Pacific Ocean (at phase 3~8), autumn rainfall in West China is below normal level. The maximum positive and negative rainfall anomalies are found when the main MJO convective body is situated over the central and eastern Indian Ocean and western Pacific Ocean, exactly at phase 2 and phase 7. At the same time, analyzing the corresponding anomalies in the upper air circulation field and the middle-lower flow field, water vapor transportation and vertical motion at various MJO phases. At phase1 and phase 2, we find that the circulation feature is two trough-one ridge pattern or west low-east high pattern over China, the activity of cold air in West China is frequent at this point, and water vapor from Bay of Bengal, South China Sea and Western Pacific Ocean transports to West China is strong, which will helps dry-cold air meets with warm-wet air in West China, the water vapor convergence and upward motion are significant, such environment is in favor of rainfall enhancement. In contrast, at phase 7, we find that China is under the control of the westerly long wave high pressure ridge, and water vapor from the three ocean areas transports to West China is weak, the water vapor divergence and downward motion are strong, such environment is in favor of rainfall suppression.

Cite this article

ZHAO Jiayu , MA Zhenfeng , FAN Guangzhou . Impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Autumn Rainfall in West China[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2016 , 35(6) : 1487 -1497 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2015.00089

References

[1]?Hartmann D L,Gross J R. 1988. Seasonal variability of the 40-50 day oscillation in wind and rainfall in the tropics[J]. J Atmos Sci,45(19):2680-2702.
[2]Madden R A,Julian P R. 1971. Detection of a 40-50 day oscillation in the zonal wind in the tropical Pacific[J]. J Atmos Sci,28(5):702-708.
[3]Madden R A,Julian P R. 1972. Description of global scale circulation cells in the tropics with 40-50 day period[J]. J Atmos Sci,29(6):1109-1123.
[4]Nishi N. 1989. Observational study on the 30-60 day variations in the geopotential and temperature fields in the equatorial region[J]. J Meteor Soc Janpan,67(2):187-203.
[5]Pohl B,Matthews A J. 2007. Observed changes in the lifetime and amplitude of the Madden-Julian oscillation associated with interannual ENSO sea surface temperature anomalies[J]. J Climate,20(11):2659-2674.
[6]Wheeler M C,Hendon H H. 2004. An all-season real-time multivariate MJO Index:Development of an index for monitoring and prediction[J]. Mon Wea Rev,132(8):1917-1932.
[7]Bai Huzhi,Dong Wenjie. 2004. Climate features and formation causes of autumn rain over Southwest China[J]. Plateau Meteor,23(6):884-889.<br/>白虎志,董文杰. 2004. 华西秋雨的气候特征及成因分析[J]. 高原气象,23(6):884-889.
[8]Bai Xuxu,Li Chongyin,Tan Yanke,et al. 2011. Analysis of the Madden-Julian Oscillation impacts on the spring rainfall in East China[J]. J Trop Meteor,27(6):814-822. DOI:10.3969/j. issn. 1004-4965.2011.06.004.<br/>白旭旭,李崇银,谭言科,等. 2011.MJO对我国东部春季降水影响的分析[J]. 热带气象学报,27(6):814-822.
[9]Chen Xianyan,Zhang Qiang. 2009. Local climate monitoring in the Three Gorges of the Yangtze River[M]. Beijing:China Meteorological Press:1-13.<br/>陈鲜艳,张强. 2009. 长江三峡局地气候监测[M]. 北京:气象出版社:1-13.
[10]Gao Youxi,Guo Qiyun. 1958a. On the autumn raining area in China. [J]. Acta Meteor Sinica,29(4):264-273.<br/>高由禧,郭其蕴. 1958a. 我国的秋雨现象[J]. 气象学报,29(4):264-273.
[11]Gao Youxi. 1958b. On the high autumn clear weather in China[J]. Acta Meteor Sinica,29(2):83-92.<br/>高由禧. 1958b. 东亚的秋高气爽[J]. 气象学报,29(2):83-92.
[12]Jiang Zhujiang,Ma Zhenfeng,Liu Jia,et al. 2014. Improved index and climatological characteristics of the autumn rain in western China[J]. Chinese J Atmos Sci,38(1):32-44. DOI:10.3878/j. issn. 1006-9895.2013.13120.<br/>蒋竹将,马振峰,刘佳,等. 2014. 一种改进的华西秋雨指数及其气候特征[J]. 大气科学,38(1):32-44.
[13]Li Chongyin,Li Guilong. 1998. A further analysis on intraseasonal oscillation in the tropical atmosphere[J]. Climate Environ Res,3(1):27-37.<br/>李崇银,李桂龙. 1998. 热带大气季节内振荡的进一步分析[J]. 气候与环境研究,3(1):27-37.
[14]Li Chongyin,Long Zhenxia,Mu Mingquan. 2003. Atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation and its important effect[J]. Chinese J Atmos Sci,27(4):519-535.<br/>李崇银,龙振夏,穆明权. 2003. 大气季节内振荡及其重要作用[J]. 大气科学,27(4):518-535.
[15]Li Ting,Yan Xin,Ju Jianhua. 2012. Impact of MJO activities on precipitation in May over Yunnan[J]. Chinese J Atmos Sci,36(6):1101-1111. DOI:10.3878/j. issn. 1006-9895.2012.11152.<br/>李汀,严欣,琚建华. 2012.MJO活动对云南5月降水的影响[J]. 大气科学,36(6):1101-1111.
[16]Li Yaohui,Li Dongliang,Zhao Qingyun. 2001. An analysis on characteristic of autumn rainfall anomaly in northwest China[J]. Plateau Meteor,20(2):158-164.<br/>李耀辉,李栋梁,赵庆云. 2001. 中国西北地区秋季降水异常的特征分析[J]. 高原气象,20(2):158-164.
[17]Lin Ailan,Li Chunhui,Zhengbin,et al. 2013. Modulation effect of MJO on the precipitation over Guangdong and its link with the direct impact system in June[J]. J Appl Meteor Sci,24(4):397-406.<br/>林爱兰,李春晖,郑彬,等. 2013.6月MJO对广东降水调制与直接影响系统的联系[J]. 应用气象学报,24(4):397-406.
[18]Liu Jia,Ma Zhenfeng,Yang Shuqun,et al. 2015. Relationship between Indian Ocean dipole and autumn rainfall in West China[J]. Plateau Meteor,34(4):950-962. DOI:10.7522/j. issn. 1000-0534.2014.00107.<br/>刘佳,马振峰,杨淑群,等. 2015. 印度洋偶极子和华西秋雨的关系[J]. 高原气象,34(4):950-962.
[19]Luo Xiao,Li Dongliang,Wang Hui. 2013. New evolution features of autumn rainfall in West China and its responses to atmospheric circulation[J]. Plateau Meteor,32(4):1019-1031. DOI:10.7522/j. issn. 1000-0534.2013.00018.<br/>罗霄,李栋梁,王慧. 2013. 华西秋雨演变的新特征及其对大气环流的响应[J]. 高原气象,32(4):1019-1031.
[20]Lü Junmei,Ju Jianhua,Ren Junzhang,et al. 2012. The influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation activity anomalies on Yunnan's extreme drought of 2009-2010[J]. Sci China Earth Sci,55:98-112. DOI:10.1007/s11430-011-4348-1.<br/>吕俊梅,琚建华,任菊章,等. 2012. 热带大气MJO活动异常对2009-2010年云南极端干旱的影响[J]. 中国科学地球科学,55:98-112.
[21]Sun Zhaoxuan,Yang Xiaobo,Ma Zhenfeng. 2013. Monitoring index and causes of autumn rains over southwest China in recent 50 years[J]. Meteor Sci Technol,41(5):883-888.<br/>孙昭萱,杨小波,马振峰. 2013. 近50年西南地区秋雨监测指标的建立及成因分析[J]. 气象科技,41(5):883-888.
[22]Wang Chunxue,Ma Zhenfeng,Deng Biao,et al. 2015. Characteristic analysis of precipitation intraseasonal oscillation in Southwest China based on MTM-SVD[J]. Plateau Meteor,34(2):59-69. DOI:10.7522/j. issn. 1000-0534.2013.00156.<br/>王春学,马振峰,邓彪,等. 2015. 基于MTM-SVD方法的西南地区降水季节内振荡特征分析[J]. 高原气象,34(1):59-69.
[23]Xu Guiyu,Lin Chunyu. 1994. Survey on the causes and features of autumn rain in western China[J]. Scientia Meteor Sinica,14(2):149-154.<br/>徐桂玉,林春育. 1994. 华西秋雨特征及成因探讨[J]. 气象科学,14(2):149-154.
[24]Yang Hui,Li Chongyin. 2005. A study of propagation of tropical intraseasonal oscillation and its influence mechanism[J]. Climatic Environ Res,10(2):145-156.<br/>杨辉,李崇银. 2005. 热带大气季节内振荡的传播及影响因子研究[J]. 气候与环境研究,10(2):145-156.
[25]Zhang Lina,Lin Pengfei,Xiong Zhe,et al. 2011. Impact of the Madden-Julia oscillation on pre-flood season precipitation in South China[J]. Chinese J Atmos Sci,35(3):560-570.<br/>章丽娜,林鹏飞,熊喆,等. 2011. 热带大气季节内振荡对华南前汛期降水的影响[J]. 大气科学,35(3):560-570.
Outlines

/