An EOF-Based Study of Precipitation Characteristics and Their Responses to Different Configurations of Summer Monsoon in the East Asian Monsoon Region from 1951 to 2020

  • Zhanghuai MA ,
  • Yibo WANG ,
  • Zeyong GAO
Expand
  • 1. College of Earth and Environment Science,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,Gansu,China
    2. State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil Engineering,Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou 730000,Gansu,China

Received date: 2023-09-21

  Revised date: 2023-12-07

  Online published: 2023-12-07

Abstract

Summer precipitation in the East Asian monsoon region is significantly affected by monsoon variations.Different monsoon configurations form distinct precipitation patterns in the East Asian monsoon region by affecting regional water vapor transport.Further, the phase changes in precipitation patterns are prone to the occurrence of abnormal precipitation events, which in turn induce droughts and floods.Based on the EOF analysis, the GPCC precipitation, NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and different monsoon indices were used to study the spatial and temporal distribution of summer precipitation in the East Asian monsoon region.The effects of four different configurations of summer monsoon on summer precipitation patterns in the East Asian monsoon region were further investigated by combining correlation analysis and water vapor flux analysis.The results show that: (1) Precipitation in the East Asian monsoon region experienced a decrease followed by an increase from 1951 to 2020.The increase in precipitation anomalies after 2010, as well as the rapid fluctuations in precipitation series, indicate a decline in regional climate stability.The EOF successfully presents the distribution of summer precipitation over the East Asian monsoon region.It mainly exhibits as the three-pole structure of north-south "-, +, -", followed by the dipolar-type structure with north-south reversed-phase variations.Precipitation anomalies occur in the phase transition of precipitation structure, mainly tripolar type followed by dipole type.(2) The combined influence of the East Asian, South Asian, West Pacific, and westerly circulation monsoon systems results in the summer precipitation anomaly in the East Asian monsoon region.The monsoon configurations leading to anomalous increase and decrease in precipitation are Configuration 1 (WNPMI strong, EASMI and AZCI weak) and Configuration 2 (AZCI strong, EASMI and SASMI weak) respectively.(3) At Configuration 1, the subtropical high is located in the southwest, the westerly trough appears at 40°N, and the southern monsoon is strong.These combine to form precipitation in the central part of the monsoon region through shear lines as well as uplift, leading to an increase in anomalous precipitation.In Configuration 2, the westerlies are strong and the southern water vapor dynamics are too weak to penetrate deep into the continent, resulting in an anomalous decrease in precipitation.The results of this study provide a theoretical framework for investigating the mechanisms behind precipitation anomalies in the East Asian monsoon region in the context of climate change.They also provide critical scientific references for managing the region's extreme precipitation occurrences, as well as preventing and controlling floods and droughts.

Cite this article

Zhanghuai MA , Yibo WANG , Zeyong GAO . An EOF-Based Study of Precipitation Characteristics and Their Responses to Different Configurations of Summer Monsoon in the East Asian Monsoon Region from 1951 to 2020[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2024 , 43(4) : 855 -867 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2023.00098

References

null
Cai Y J Tan L C Cheng H, et al, 2010.The variation of summer monsoon precipitation in Central China since the last deglaciation[J].Earth and Planetary Science Letters291(1): 21-31.
null
Ha K J Seo Y W Lee J Y, et al, 2017.Linkages between the South and East Asian summer monsoons: a review and revisit[J].Climate Dynamics, 51: 4207-4227.DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3773-z .
null
Hartmann D L Klein A M G Rusicucci M, et al, 2013.Observations: atmosphere and surface.Climate Change 2013: the physical science basis[M].Stocker T F, et al, Eds, Cambridge University Press, 159-254.
null
Hsu H H Zhou T J Matsumoto J2014.East Asian, Indochina and Western North Pacific summer monsoon-an update[J].Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 50: 46-68.
null
Huang R H Zhou L T Chen W2003.The progresses of recent studies on the variabilities of the East Asian monsoon and their causes[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences20(1): 55-69.DOI: 10.1007/BF03342050 .
null
Kitoh A H Endo K Krishna K I, et al, 2013.Monsoons in a changing world: a regional perspective in a global context[J].Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 118: 3053-3065.DOI: 10.1002/JGRD.50258 .
null
Kripalani R H Oh J H Chaudhari H S2010.Delayed influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole mode on the East Asia-West Pacific monsoon: possible mechanism[J].International Journal of Climatology30(2): 197-209.
null
Lee E J Ha K J Jhun J G2014.Interdecadal changes in interannual variability of the global monsoon precipitation and interrelationships among its subcomponents[J].Climate Dynamics, 42: 2585-2601.
null
Li J N Zheng Y P Li F Z, et al, 2014.The structural characteristics of precipitation in Asian-Pacific’s three monsoon regions measured by tropical rainfall measurement mission[J].Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 33: 111-117.DOI: 10.1007/s13131-014-0417-6 .
null
Li J P Zeng Q C2003.A new monsoon index and the geographical distribution of the global monsoons[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences20(2): 299-302.
null
Lian T Chen D2012.An evaluation of rotated EOF Analysis and its application to tropical Pacific SST variability[J].Journal of Climate, 25: 5361-5373.DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-11-00663.1 .
null
Qu J X Gong D Y Mao R, et al, 2016.Possible influence of Arctic oscillation on precipitation along the East Asian rain belt during boreal spring[J].Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 130: 487-495.DOI: 10.1007/s00704-016-1900-0 .
null
Sampe T Xie S P2010.Large-scale dynamics of the Meiyu-Baiu rainband: environmental forcing by the westerly jet[J].Journal of Climate23(1): 113-134.
null
Schneider U H?nsel S Finger P, et al, 2022.GPCC full data monthly product version 2022 at 0.25°: Monthly land-surface precipitation from rain-gauges built on GTS-based and historical data[DB/OL].DOI: 10.5676/DWD_GPCC/FD_M_V2022_025 .[2023-09-07].
null
Seneviratne S I2012.Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment.Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation, Field C B, et al, Eds[M].Cambridge University Press, 109-230.
null
Shi Y Jiang Z H Liu Z Y, et al, 2020.A Lagrangian Analysis of water vapor sources and pathways for precipitation in East China in different Stages of the East Asian Summer Monsoon[J].Journal of Climate, 33: 977-992.DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0089.1 .
null
Tao Y Cao J Lan G D, et al, 2016.The zonal movement of the Indian-East Asian summer monsoon interface in relation to the land-sea thermal contrast anomaly over East Asia[J].Climate Dynamics46(9/10): 2759-2771.
null
Trenberth K E Jones P D Ambenje P, et al, 2007.Observations: Surface and atmospheric climate change.Climate Change 2007: The physical science basis, S.Solomon et al, Eds[M].Cambridge University Press, 235-336.
null
Trenberth K E1991.Climate diagnostics from global analyses: conservation of mass in ECMWF analyses[J].Journal of Climate, 4: 707-722.
null
Wang J Liu H J Kim P J, et al, 2012.Recent change of the global monsoon precipitation (1979-2008)[J].Climate Dynamics, 39: 1123-1135, DOI: 10.1007/s00382011-1266-z .
null
Wang B Wu Z W Li J P, et al, 2008.How to measure the strength of the East Asian summer monsoon[J].Journal of Climate, 21: 4449-4463.DOI: 10.1175/2008jcli2183.1 .
null
Wu G X Guan Y Liu Y M, et al, 2012.Air-sea interaction and formation of the Asian summer monsoon onset vortex over the Bay of Bengal[J].Climate Dynamics38(1/2): 261-279.
null
Zhang W X Zhou T J2019.Significant increases in extreme precipitation and the associations with global warming over the global land monsoon regions[J].Journal of Climate, 32: 8465-8488.DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-18-0662.1 .
null
曹博文, 严蜜, 刘征宇, 等, 2023.过去千年东亚季风环流与内部变率对中国东部年代际降水分型的影响研究[J].第四纪研究43(4): 1076-1088.DOI: 10.11928/j.issn.1001-7410.2023.04.15.Cao B
null
Yan M Liu Z Y, et al, 2023.A study on the relationship between the summer rainfall pattern and the East Asian monsoon circulation and internal variability at decadal scale over the past millennium[J].Quaternary Sciences43(4): 1076-1088.DOI: 10.11928/j.issn.1001-7410.2023.04.15 .
null
陈海山, 陈健康, 2017.东亚夏季风指数的分类及物理特征分析[J].大气科学学报40(3): 299-309.DOI: 10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20160323001.Chen H S
null
Chen J K2017.Classification of East Asian summer monsoon indices and their basic physical features[J].Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences40 (3): 299-309.DOI: 10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20160323001 .
null
陈金明, 陆桂华, 吴志勇, 等, 2016.1960-2009年中国夏季极端降水事件与气温的变化及其环流特征[J].高原气象35(3): 675-684.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2015.00072.Chen J M
null
Lu G H Wu Z Y, et al, 2016.Change properties of summer extreme precipitation events and temperature and associated large-scale circulation in China during 1960-2009[J].Plateau Meteorology35(3): 675-684.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2015.00072 .
null
陈子凡, 王磊, 李谢辉, 等, 2022.西南地区极端降水时空变化特征及其与强ENSO事件的关系[J].高原气象41(3): 604-616.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2022.00004.Chen Z F
null
Wang L Li X H, et al, 2022.Spatiotemporal change characteristics of extreme precipitation in South‐ western China and its relationship with intense ENSO events[J].Plateau Meteorology41(3): 604-616.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2022.00004 .
null
丁一汇, 孙颖, 刘芸芸, 等, 2013.亚洲夏季风的年际和年代际变化及其未来预测[J].大气科学37(2): 253-280.DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2012.12302.Ding Y H
null
Sun Ying Liu Y Y, et al, 2013.Interdecadal and interannual variabilities of the Asian summer monsoon and its projection of future change[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences37 (2): 253–280.DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2012.12302 .
null
杜梦莹, 李艳, 冯娟, 2022.亚洲季风区内北半球秋季哈德莱环流特征及其与热带海温之间关系[J].高原气象41(6): 1399-1409.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2021.00093.Du M Y
null
Li Y Feng J2022.Characteries of boreal autumn Hadley circulation over the Asian domain and its relationship with tropical SST[J].Plateau Meteorology41(6): 1399-1409.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2021.00093 .
null
顾元华, 郭品文, 胡景高, 等, 2023.南亚和东亚热带夏季风强弱不同配置及其对中国夏季降水的影响[J].气象科学43(1): 15-24.DOI: 10.12306/2022jms.0058.Gu Y H
null
Guo P W Hu J G, et al, 2023.Different configurations of interannual variation between East Asian tropical summer monsoon and South Asian summer monsoon[J].Journal of the Meteorological Sciences43(1): 15-24.DOI: 10.12306/2022jms.0058 .
null
何静, 范广洲, 张永莉, 等, 2021.气候变化背景下陆地季风与非季风区极端降水特征对比[J].高原气象40(2): 324-332.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2020.00077.He J
null
Fan G Z Zhang Y L, et al, 2021.Land monsoon and non‐monsoon regions under climate change com‐parison of extreme precipitation characteristics[J].Plateau Meteorology40(2): 324-332.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2020.00077 .
null
桓玉, 李跃清, 2018.夏季东亚季风和南亚季风协同作用与我国南方夏季降水异常的关系[J].高原气象37(6): 1563-1577.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2018.00044.Huan Y
null
Li Y Q2018.The synergy between the East Asian summer monsoon and the south Asian summer monsoon and its relations with anomalous rainfall in southern China[J].Plateau Meteorology37(6): 1563-1577.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2018.00044 .
null
黄荣辉, 陈际龙, 刘永, 2011.我国东部夏季降水异常主模态的年代际变化及其与东亚水汽输送的关系[J].大气科学35(4): 589-606.
null
Huang R H Chen J L Liu Y2011.Interdecadal variation of the leading modes of summertime precipitation anomalies over Eastern China and its association with water vapor transport over East Asia[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences35 (4): 589-606.
null
靳莉君, 赵平, 2012.夏季南海季风对长江中下游季风降水影响的观测分析和数值模拟[J].气象学报70(4): 670-680.
null
Jin L J Zhao P2012.Observationally analyzing and numerically simulating the impacts of the South China Sea summer monsoon on summer monsoon rainfall in the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica70(4): 670-680.
null
李建平, 曾庆存, 2005.一个新的季风指数及其年际变化和与雨量的关系[J].气候与环境研究10(3): 351-365.
null
Li J P Zeng Q C2005.A new monsoon index, its interannual variability and relation with monsoon precipitation[J].Climatic and Environmental Research10(3): 351-365.
null
任菊章, 琚建华, 米瑞芝, 等, 2021.亚洲热带夏季风指数与中国南方降水的关系[J].气象科学41(2): 228-236.DOI: 10.12306/2020jms.0017.Ren J Z
null
Ju J H Mi R Z, et al, 2021.The relationship between Asian tropical summer monsoon index and precipitation in southern China[J].Journal of the Meteorological Sciences41(2): 228-236.DOI: 10.12306/2020jms.0017 .
null
汪卫平, 杨修群, 2008.索马里急流变异及其与东亚夏季风和中国降水异常的关系[J].气象科学28(2): 139-146.
null
Wang W P Yang X Q2008.Variation of Somali jet and its impact on East Asian summer monsoon and associated China rainfall anomalies[J].Scientia Meteorological Sinica28(2): 139-146.
null
谢傲, 罗伯良, 2023.东亚夏季风指数分类与长江中游地区夏季降水的关系[J].中低纬山地气象47(1): 25-30.
null
Xie A Luo B L2023.Relationship between east asian summer monsoon classification and summer precipitation in middle reaches of the yangtze river[J].Mid-low Latitude Mountain Meteorology47(1): 25-30.
null
晏红明, 王灵, 金燕, 等, 2023.云南冬季气温变化的主要模态及其影响的关键环流因子[J].高原气象42(2): 386-402.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2021.00070.Yan H M
null
Wang L Jin Y, et al, 2023.Dominant patterns of winter temperature variation in Yunnan and key circulation factors affecting on them[J], Plateau Meteorology42(2): 386-402.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2021.00070 .
null
杨涵洧, 龚志强, 王晓娟, 等, 2021.中国东部夏季极端降水年代际变化特征及成因分析[J].大气科学45(3): 683-696.DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2007.19247.Yang H W
null
Gong Z Q Wang X J, et al, 2021.Analysis of the characteristics and causes of interdecadal changes in the summer extreme precipitation over eastern China[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences45(3): 683-696.DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2007.19247 .
Outlines

/