Potential Impact of the Northeastern Atlantic-Western Mediterranean Sea Surface Temperature on the Dry-hot Wind in Henan Province

  • Leilei ZHU ,
  • Xiaole SU ,
  • Pan PAN ,
  • Lu WU ,
  • Ting YANG
Expand
  • 1. CMA?Henan Key Laboratory of Agrometeorological Support and Applied Technique,Zhengzhou 450003,Henan,China
    2. Henan Climate Center,Zhengzhou 450003,Henan,China

Received date: 2024-04-15

  Revised date: 2024-07-09

  Online published: 2024-11-20

Abstract

Henan Province is the main producing area of winter wheat in China, and it is also susceptible to dry-hot wind.At present, the research and forecast of dry-hot wind both are on the weather scale, it is of great significance to study whether the dry-hot wind is predictable from the perspective of climate.This study analyzed the relationship between dry-hot wind days in Henan Province and preceding sea surface temperatures (SST) from 1980 to 2022, as well as potential influencing pathways, based on the dry-hot wind data from Henan Province, NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, and SST data from the Hadley Centre.The results show that: (1) The mean annual dry-hot wind days in northern, northwestern and central Henan Province is more than that in other regions.The probability of dry-hot wind occurrence in the day gradually increases from south to north, and from late May to early June.The average number of dry-hot wind days in the province has a significant increasing trend.(2) There is a close correlation between the number of dry-hot wind days in Henan and the March-April SST in the northeastern Atlantic-western Mediterranean (key region) on both decadal and interannual scales.The correlations between the above two and the 500 hPa geopotential height during dry-hot wind periods, before and after detrending, indicate significant positive correlation areas in mid-latitude East Asia, located from northern Xinjiang to north of the Lake Baikal, and significant negative correlation areas located from northeastern China to the Japanese archipelago, respectively.Correlations with 850 hPa wind fields show anticyclonic and cyclonic distributions in these significant correlation areas, respectively.There is significant correlation of northerly wind in the rear of cyclone, That is, in years with high SST in the key region in March-April, the dry-hot wind weather in Henan Province was formed under the influence of the Mongolian high pressure ridge and the East Asian trough.The correlations between the key region SST index and the circulation fields exhibits a more obvious zonal teleconnection wave-train from the northeastern Atlantic across Eurasia to northeastern Asia in the middle-latitudes.(3) When the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) shifts southward (northward), the dry-hot wind days are more (fewer), while the high (low) SST in the key region in March-April can lead to a southward (northward) shift of the WPSH.(4) The differences of meridional mean vortex at 30°N-55°N during dry-hot wind period between years with more dry-hot wind days and years with less days, years with key region high SST index in March-April and years with low SST index, composites of 500 hPa quasi-geostrophic stream function anomalies and wave activity flux during dry-hot wind period in years with high and low SST index all show that there is a zonal wave-train from the northeastern Atlantic to the western Pacific.This indicates that March-April SST in the key region can generate a similar wave train during subsequent dry-hot wind periods, propagating across the Eurasian continent to northeastern Asia, with the circulation pattern in high SST years causing dry-hot wind weather in Henan Province.

Cite this article

Leilei ZHU , Xiaole SU , Pan PAN , Lu WU , Ting YANG . Potential Impact of the Northeastern Atlantic-Western Mediterranean Sea Surface Temperature on the Dry-hot Wind in Henan Province[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2025 , 44(1) : 150 -162 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2024.00080

References

null
Ding T Yuan Y Gao H, et al, 2019.Impact of the North Atlantic sea surface temperature on the summer high temperature in north China[J].International Journal of Climatology, 1-14.DOI: 10. 1002/joc.6333 .
null
Latif M Collins M Stouffer R J, et al, 2006.The physical basis for prediction of Atlantic sector climate on decadal time scales[J].Journal of Climate19(23): 5971-5987.
null
Li C Yanai M1996.The onset and international variability of the Asian summer monsoon in relation to land-sea thermal contrast [J].Journal of Climate, 9: 358-375.DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)0092.0.CO; 2 .
null
Qi L He J H Zhang Z Q, et al, 2008.Seasonal cycle of the zonal land-sea thermal contrast and East Asian subtropical monsoon circulation[J].Chinese Science Bulletin53(1): 131-136.DOI: 10.1007/s11434-007-0518-0 .
null
Qu X Huang G2012.Impacts of tropical Indian ocean SST on the meridional displacement of east Asian jet in boreal summer[J].International Journal of Climatology32(13): 2073-2080.DOI: 10.1002/joc.2378 .
null
Rayner N A Parker D E Horton E B, et al, 2003.Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century[J].Journal of Geophysical Research108(D14): 4407.DOI: 10.1029/2002JD002670 .
null
Rodwell M J Rowell D P Folland C K1999.Oceanic forcing of the winter time North Atlantic oscillation and European climate[J].Nature, 398: 320-323.DOI: 10.1038/18648 .
null
Takaya K Nakamura H2001.A formulation of a phase-independent wave-activity flux for stationary and migratory quasigeostrophic eddies on a zonally varying basic flow[J].Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences58(6): 608-627.
null
Wu G X Zhang Y1998.Tibetan plateau forcing and the timing of the monsoon onset over south Asia and the South China Sea[J].Monthly Weather Review126(4), 913-927.DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1998)1262.0.CO; 2 .
null
Zhao P Zhang R H Liu J P, et al, 2007.Onset of southwesterly wind over eastern China and associated atmospheric circulation and rainfall[J].Climate Dynamic, 28: 797-811.DOI: 10.1007/s00382-006-0212-y .
null
Zuo J Q Li W J Sun C H, et al, 2013.Impact of the North Atlantic sea surface temperature tripole on the East Asian summer monsoon[J].Advance Atmospherics Science30(4): 1173-1186.DOI: 10.1007/s00376-012-2125-5 .
null
北方干热风科研协作组, 1984.小麦干热风环流机理的研究[J].气象, (12): 2-7.
null
Coordinated research group of hot-arid wind in north China, 1984.Study on circulation mechanism of hot-arid wind for wheat[J].Meteorological Monthly, (12): 2-7.
null
布和朝鲁, 林大伟, 齐道日娜, 等, 2022.亚洲中高纬环流春夏季节转换过程的关键特征[J].大气科学46(1): 151-167.DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2104.21028.Bueh C
null
Lin D W Chyi D, et al, 2022.Key circulation characteristics of spring-to-summer seasonal transition process over mid-and high-latitude Asia[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences46(1): 151-167.DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2104.21028 .
null
陈怀亮, 邹春辉, 付祥建, 等, 2001.河南省小麦干热风发生规律分析[J].自然资源学报16(1): 59-64.
null
Chen H L Zou C H Fu X J, et al, 2001.The EOF analysis on wheat dry-hot-wind in Henan Province[J].Journal of Natural Resources16(1): 59-64.
null
成林, 张志红, 常军, 2011. 近 47年来河南省冬小麦干热风灾害的变化分析[J].中国农业气象, 32(3): 456-460.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000 –6362.
null
2011.03.022.Cheng L, Zhang Z H, Chang J, 2011.Analysis on the change of dry-hot wind hazard for winter wheat in last 47 years in Henan Province[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology32(3): 456-460.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2011.03.022 .
null
何金海, 祁莉, 刘丹妮, 等, 2010.东亚大气环流由冬向夏的转变时间及其特征[J].气象科学30(5): 591-596.
null
He J H Qi L Liu D N, et al, 2010.Transition of east Asian general circulation from winter to summer and its features[J].Scientia Meteorologica Sinica30(5): 591-596.
null
霍治国, 尚莹, 邬定荣, 等, 2019.中囯小麦干热风灾害研究进展[J].应用气象学报30(2): 129-141.DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20190201.Huo Z G
null
Shang Y Wu D R, et al, 2019.Review on disaster of hot dry wind for wheat in China[J].Journal of Applied Meteorological Science30(2): 129-141.DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20190201 .
null
李栋梁, 蓝柳茹, 2017.西伯利亚高压强度与北大西洋海温异常的关系[J].大气科学学报40(1): 13-24.DOI: 10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20151218001.Li D L
null
Lan L R2017.Relationship between the intensity of the Siberian high and the SST anomaly in the North Atlantic[J].Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences40(1): 13-24.DOI: 10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20151218001 .
null
李森, 韩丽娟, 郭安红, 等, 2018.1961-2015年黄淮海地区冬小麦干热风灾害时空分布特征[J].生态学报38(19): 6972-6980.DOI: 10.5846/stxb201708281553. Li S
null
Han L J Guo A H, et al, 2018.Spatial-temporal characteristics of dry-hot wind for winter wheat in Huang-Huai-Hai region from 1961 to 2015[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica38(19): 6972-6980.DOI: 10.5846/stxb201708281553 .
null
李艳玲, 杨晓晗, 司海平, 等, 2023.基于马尔科夫的小麦干热风年型预测[J].农业工程13(1): 36-41.DOI: 10.19998/j.cnki.2095-1795.2023.01.006.Li Y L
null
Yang X H Si H P, et al, 2023.Prediction of dry-hot wind annual pattern for wheat based on Markov[J].Agricultural Engineering13(1): 36-41.DOI: 10.19998/j.cnki.2095-1795.2023.01.006.
null
李燕赟, 刘晓东, 2015.春夏转换期青藏高原南侧对流层大气经向温度梯度逆转与亚洲夏季风建立及降水变化的联系[J].地球物理学报6(1): 26-34.DOI: 10.7515/JEE201501004.Li Y Y
null
Liu X D2015.Reversal of tropospheric meridional temperature gradient south of the Tibetan Plateau during spring-summer transition and its relation to Asian summer monsoon onset and precipitation change[J].Journal of Earth Environment6(1): 26-34.DOI: 10.7515/JEE201501004 .
null
刘芸芸, 何金海, 梁建茵, 等, 2006.亚澳季风区水汽输送季节转换特征[J].热带气象学报22(3): 138-146.DOI: 10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2006.02.005.Liu Y Y
null
He J H Liang J Y, et al, 2006.Features of moisture transport in seasonal transition over Asian-Australian monsoon regions[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology22(3): 138-146.DOI: 10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2006.02.005 .
null
孟祥翼, 2017.基于特定因子的河南省干热风客观预报方法[J].气象科技45(6): 1049-1057.DOI: 10.19517/j1671–6345.20160710.
null
Meng X Y2017.Forecasting method of dry-hot wind in Henan Province based on specific factors[J].Meteorological Science and Technology45(6): 1049-1057.DOI: 10.19517/j , 1671-6345.20160710.
null
蒲于莉, 冯娟, 李建平, 2023.东部型El Ni?o事件发展期秋季对中国极端降水的影响[J].高原气象42(6): 1457-1467.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2023.00004. Pu Y L
null
Feng J Li J P2023.Influence of developing phase of eastern Pacific El Ni?o events on the autumn extreme precipitation in China[J].Plateau Meteorology42(6): 1457-1467.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2023.00004 .
null
82-2019 QX/T2019. 小麦干热风灾害等级 [S].北京: 中国气象局.QX/T82-2019, 2019.Disaster grade of dry-hot wind for wheat[S].Beijing: China Meteorological Administration.
null
王姝, 刘树华, 郑辉, 等, 2015.关中平原麦田干热风过程陆气交换特征的数值模拟[J].地球物理学进展30(4): 1481-1491.DOI: 10.6038/pg20150401.Wang S
null
Liu S H Zheng H, et al, 2015.Modeling the land-atmosphere interaction features during a dry-hot wind process above the wheat land on Guanzhong Plateau[J].Progress in Geophysics30(4): 1481-1491.DOI: 10.6038/pg20150401 .
null
王旭栋, 管兆勇, 周游, 2017.夏半年热带太平洋中部型海温异常与热带印度洋海盆模对同期中国东部降水的共同影响[J].大气科学学报40(6): 737-748.DOI: 10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20160118001.Wang X D
null
Guan Z Y Zhou Y2017.Combined influences of tropical central Pacific SSTA and tropical Indian Ocean Basin mode on precipitation in eastern China during summer half-year[J].Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences40(6): 737-748.DOI: 10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20160118001 .
null
王遵娅, 丁一汇, 2008.中国雨季的气候学特征[J].大气科学32(1): 1-12.
null
Wang Z Y Ding Y H2008.Climatic characteristics of rainy seasons in China[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences32(1): 1-12.
null
温之平, 2006.南海夏季风爆发的年际变化及其机制[D].北京: 中国科学院大气物理所.Wen Z P, 2006.Interannual variation and mechanism of summer monsoon outbreak in South China Sea[D].Beijing: Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences.
null
吴国雄, 王军, 刘新, 等, 2005.欧亚地形对不同季节大气环流影响的数值模拟研究[J].气象学报63(5): 603-612.
null
Wu G X Wang J Liu X, et al, 2005.Numerical modeling of the influence of Eurasian orography on the atmospheric circulation in different seasons[J].Acta Meterologica Sinica63(5): 603-612.
null
徐亚楠, 吴玥, 柳斌辉, 等, 2021.干热风对冬小麦不同穗粒位粒重的影响效应[J].中国农业气象42(7): 583-595.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000 –6362.
null
2021.07.005.Xu Y N, Wu Y, Liu B H, et al, 2021.Effect of dry-hot wind on grain weight of winter wheat at different spikelet and grain positions[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology42(7): 583-595.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2021.07.005 .
null
应明, 孙淑清, 2000.西太平洋副热带高压对热带海温异常响应的研究[J].大气科学24(2): 193-206.DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2000.02.08.Ying M
null
Sun S Q2000.A study on the response of subtropical high over the western Pacific on the SST anomaly[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences24(2): 193-206.DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2000.02.08 .
null
杨耀先, 胡泽勇, 路富全, 等, 2022.青藏高原近60年来气候变化及其环境影响研究进展[J].高原气象41(1): 1-10.
null
Yang Y X Hu Z Y Lu F Q, et al, 2022.Progress of recent 60 years' climate change and its environmental impacts on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau[J].Plateau Meteorology41(1): 1-10.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2021.00117 .
null
杨雨欣, 袁潮霞, 李艳, 2023.印度洋海盆模对南北半球太平洋副热带高压非对称的影响及机制[J].高原气象42(6): 1589-1603.
null
Yang Y X Yuan C X Li Y2023.Influence and mechanism of Indian Ocean Basin model on the asymmetry of Pacific subtropical high in the northern and southern hemispheres[J].Plateau Meteorology42(6): 1589-1603.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2023.00010 .
null
张志红, 成林, 李书岭, 等, 2015.干热风天气对冬小麦生理的影响[J].生态学杂志34(3): 712-717.DOI: 10.13292/j.1000-4890.2015.0097.Zhang Z H
null
Cheng L Li S L, et al, 2015.Dry-hot wind effects on physiology of winter wheat[J].Chinese Journal of Ecology34(3): 712-717.DOI: 10.13292/j.1000-4890.2015.0097 .
null
竹磊磊, 史恒斌, 王建新, 等, 2024.2023年麦收期河南省连阴雨的气候特征和可能成因[J].气象与环境科学47(1): 45-56.DOI: 10.16765/j.cnki.1673-7148.2024.01.006.Zhu L L
null
Shi H B Wang J X, et al, 2024.Climatic characteristics and possible causes of continuous rainy weather in Henan Province during the wheat harvest season in 2023[J].Meteorological and Environmental Sciences47(1): 45-56.DOI: 10.16765/j.cnki.1673-7148.2024.01.006 .
Outlines

/