Evaluation of the Accuracy of Multiple High-Spatial-and-TemporalResolution Precipitation Data in the "7·22" Heavy Rainstorm Event in the East of Northwest China

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  • 1. Lanzhou Central Meteorological ObservatoryLanzhou 730020GansuChina
    2. Dunhuang Meteorological BureauDunhuang 736200GansuChina

Online published: 2025-12-15

Abstract

From July 22nd to 24th2024Gansu Province was hit by an extremely rare torrential rain in history. A total of 12 stations accumulated rainfall exceeding 300 mmwith the maximum reaching 351. 4 mm. The over‐ all intensity was the strongest in the northwest region since 1961. Based on the Precipitation observation data from Automatic Weather StationAWS),this study evaluated the CMA Multi-source Precipitation Analysis sys‐ tem in ChinaCMPA),Radar Quantitative Precipitation EstimationRadar-QPE),Fengyun 4B Quantitative Precipitation EstimationFY4B-QPEand the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts Reanaly‐ sis v5ERA5monitoring capabilities of four precipitation products during this extremely heavy rainstorm. The results showed that:(1CMPA had the best performance in spatial distributionwhich could accurately capture the precipitation and extreme value in the core area of rainstormwith the least spatial variabilityME was only 0. 002 mm·h-1. Radar-QPE could identify the location of the rainstorm areabut underestimate the precipitation in the core areaFY4B-QPE significantly overestimates the precipitation in the core areawhile ERA5 underesti‐ mates the precipitation in the core areaME was respectively -0. 1510. 192 and 0. 08 mm·h-1.2CMPA was the most accurate in capturing time evolution with the smallest errorCORR was up to 0. 999. Radar-QPE under‐ estimated precipitation during heavy precipitation hoursand the error increased significantly with the increase of precipitation intensitythe errors of FY4B-QPE and ERA5 increased significantly during heavy precipitation hoursespecially FY4B-QPE had worse behavior in the core areaCORR was respectively 0. 960. 24 and 0. 22.3The diurnal variation characteristics of CMPA and AWS were the closest. There were deviations in the peak value and distribution of precipitation in Radar-QPE. The peak position of FY4B-QPE was located to the east and northand the precipitation time was advanced. There was no significant peak of ERA5 in the meridian directionbut showed a negative deviation in the zonal direction that was slightly northward.4CMPA and AWS were highly consistent in precipitation probability distributionshowing the best spatio-temporal consisten‐ cy. Radar-QPE and ERA5 overestimated the first precipitation peak and underestimated the precipitation above 5. 0 mm/h. FY4B-QPE underestimated weak precipitation and overestimates heavy precipitation. These results provided a detailed comparison of the monitoring capabilities of different precipitation products in rainstorm pre‐ cipitation eventsand offered a reference for the dynamic monitoringearly warning and hydrological applica‐ tion of rainstorm event.

Cite this article

FU Jing, HUANG Wubin, DUAN Bolong, HUANG Yuxia, FU Zhengxu . Evaluation of the Accuracy of Multiple High-Spatial-and-TemporalResolution Precipitation Data in the "7·22" Heavy Rainstorm Event in the East of Northwest China[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 0 : 1 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2025.00086

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