Study on the Impact of Urbanization on Summer Heat Waves in Yangtze River Delta 

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  • 1. Key Laboratory of Geographic Information ScienceMinistry of Education),East China Normal UniversityShanghai 200241China
    2. School of Geographic SciencesEast China Normal UniversityShanghai 200241China
    3. State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather Meteorological Science and TechnologyChinese Academy
    of Meteorological Sciences
    Beijing 100081China
    4. College of Earth and Environmental SciencesLanzhou UniversityLanzhou 730000GansuChina

Online published: 2025-12-31

Abstract

Under the background of global climate warming and rapid urbanizationextreme heat events have be‐ come a significant threat to human health and social sustainable developmentparticularly in Yangtze River Delta YRD),a densely populated and economically developed region. Based on meteorological observations from 1961 to 2020this study systematically analyzes the trends of daily maximum temperaturedaily mean tempera‐ tureand heat wave indices in the YRD. Additionallysensitivity experiments using the WRF model are conduct‐ ed to assess the impact of urban land use on extreme high temperature events. The results show that:(1Both daily maximum temperature and daily mean temperature in the YRD have exhibited significant upward trends over the past few decadeswith the increase in daily maximum temperature0. 194 ℃·10a-1being more pro‐ nounced than that in daily mean temperature0. 187 ℃·10a-1. Pettitt test results indicate a significant change point in 1993with temperatures showing a downward trend before the change point and shifting to an upward trend after the change point.2The frequencydurationand intensity of heat waves have significantly in‐ creased at rates of 0. 190 time·10a-10. 475 d·10a-1and 0. 772 ℃·time-1·10a-1respectivelyindicating that the frequencyduration and intensity of heat waves increased significantly. The change point for heat wave indices lags behind that of temperature change point and occurring in 2000. It showed an insignificant downward trend before the change pointand turning into a significant upward trend after the change. Intensity of heat wave increasing at a much higher rate than frequency and duration.3Urbanization has a significant impact on tem‐ perature and heat waves. The daily maximum temperature0. 243 ℃·10a-1and daily mean temperature 0. 261 ℃·10a-1of urban stations being significantly higher than those of rural stations0. 171 ℃·10a-10. 167 ℃·10a-1],suggesting that urbanization has an amplifying effect on warming. The increasing trends of heat wave indices at urban stations are also significantly stronger than those at rural stationsindicating that ur‐ banization may enhance the occurrence of heat waves.4The WRF model can effectively simulate the hourly variation of temperatureand urban land use significantly affect urban station temperaturesespecially during hot dayswith a more pronounced effect at night. Urban underlying surfaces enhance the surface energy changes of urban stations during hot days by changing the surface energy budgetsuch as sensible heat fluxlatent heat flux and surface heat storage),which intensifies the temperature during hot dayswhile rural stations are less affect‐ ed by urbanization. This indicates that the urbanization process has a more obvious impact on extreme high tem‐ perature events in urban areas. The frequencyintensity and duration of heat waves in the Yangtze River Delta re‐ gion have shown a significant upward trend in the past few decadesand urbanization has played an important amplifying role in this. With the further development of urbanizationthe frequency and intensity of extreme high temperature events are likely to increase furtherhighlighting the necessity of developing effective adapta‐ tion strategies and mitigation measures.

Cite this article

WU Yujia, LI Yarong, HE Jianjun, CHEN Liang . Study on the Impact of Urbanization on Summer Heat Waves in Yangtze River Delta [J]. Plateau Meteorology, 0 : 1 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2025.00051

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