Current Issue

31 December 2003, Volume 22 Issue s1   
  • SVD Phase Space Analysis and Its Preliminary Application to Sea-Air Coupling Relationship
  • LI Yue-qing;LI Chong-yin;HUANG Rong-hui
  • 2003 Vol. 22 (s1): 17-23. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (1806KB) ( )
  • Using the Singular Value Decomposition(SVD) technique and phase space analysis,the relationship between SST in El Niño region over the tropical Pacific and 500 hPa hight field in East Asia is studied.The result shows that there is closely asynchronous coupling relationship between the 500 hPa geopotential height field in winter half year and SST in Niño 1~4 regions in autumn.The first modes derived from SVD indicate the key time-space correlation characteristics of the two fields.When East Asian winter monsoon is stronger(weaker) in preceding winter,El Niño(La Niña) event will occur.East Asian winter monsoon has important effect on ENSO cycle.When El Niño(La Niña) event appears,East Asian winter monsoon will be weaker(stronger) in following winter.El Niño(La Niña) event has also very important effect on East Asian winter monsoon.According to the trigger actions of stronger(weaker) East Asian winter monsoon in preceding winter and previous El Niño(La Niña) event the conceptual model of the interaction between East Asian winter monsoon and El Niño(La Niña) events is set up.Furthermore,it is pointed out that the anomalous variation of East Asian winter monsoon and the effect of ENSO cycle are an important mechanism for the occurrence and development of the other party of the two parties,respectively.In addition,it is presented that a way of phase space analysis based on SVD.It can be not only to analyze the varying processes and anomalous feature of fields themselves but also to reveal the internal interrelation of the two fields on the basis of coupling relation of the two fields.
  • Analysis of the Relationship Between Winter Surface Heating in Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and Spring Air Temperature in Sichuan Chongqing Area
  • HUANG Yi-fang;LI Yue-qing
  • 2003 Vol. 22 (s1): 32-39. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (382KB) ( )
  • Using the Singular Value Decomposition(SVD) technique,the relationship between the surface heating field in Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and 500 hPa geopotential height field of East Asia area and spring air temperature field of Sichuan-Chongqing area and its forming anomalous causes of are studied.The result shows that the first mode,derived from SVD of the surface heating field in Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in previous winter and 500 hPa goepotential height field in next spring,represent the main coupling feature between the two fields with significant time-space correlations.The surface heating field in Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in previous winter result in the anomalies of air temperature of Sichuan-Chongqing area in next spring by influencing 500 hPa geopotential height field.If the surface heating field in Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in winter is strong(weak),the 500 hPa geopotential height field over East Asia area is high(low),and the air temperature of Sichuan-Chongqing area is also high(low) in next spring.This asynchronous connections between the surface heating field,geopotential height field and air temperature field indicate that the variation of the surface heating field in Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in winter,by influencing the general circulation,is the important reason for the anomaly of air temperature of Sichuan-Chongqing area in next spring.
  • Analysis on Application of Statellite Vapour Image to Weather Prediction over Plateau
  • YU Shu-hua;HE Guang-bi
  • 2003 Vol. 22 (s1): 75-82. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (487KB) ( )
  • By the analysising of the satellite vapour image of Laqu vortex activity on August 4~5,1998 and Qinghai-Xizang Plateau(Plateau) shear line on July 18~20,1998,as well as numerical experiments of improving the mid-upper troposphere humidity over the ocean to the south of Plateau before Plateau vortex formation,the result obtained are as follows:(1) the formation of vapour vortex on the vapour image appears earlier than the Plateau vortex on the synoptic map,which has predictive meaning for Plateau vortex.(2) the formation of Plateau shear line vapour band on the vapour image appears earlier than the Plateau shear line on the synoptic map,which has the predictive meaning to the activity of Plateau shear line as well.When the shear line vapour band is broad,and the Plateau shear line is stable.When the shear line vapour band is weak,and the Plateau shear line will move southeastward.(3) the vapour transportation of the mid-upper toposphere layer over ocean to the south of the Plateau can influence on the formation and development of low synoptic system.The variation of vapour gray degree gradient in bigger value areas can predict the variation of heavy precipitation center.(4) the numerical experiments show that improving the humidity on the mid-upper troposphere over ocean to the south of Plateau by using vapour image can improve the numerical prediction to a certain extent.And so we should pay more attention to the application satellite vapour image to weather forecasting of Plateau.
  • Analyses on Spatial-Timporal Characteristics of Mud-Rock Flow and Landslip in Sichuan Basin and Its Meteorological Cause
  • YU Shu-hua
  • 2003 Vol. 22 (s1): 83-89. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (314KB) ( )
  • By analyzing the spatial-timporal charateristics of the mud-rock flow and landslip in Sichuan basin during the period of 1999-2001 and its meteorological cause,the some useful results were obtained from it,which provided a reference for forcasting and warning landslip in advance.The results are as follows:(1) The spatial-temporal characteristics of the mud-rock flow and lanslip in Sichuan basin are to mainly occurs in June~August,mostly in July;frequently-occurring areas of the mud-rock flow and landslip located in southwesten Sichuan basin and then the middle-eastern;no landslip occurs in the lower reach of Ming river and the middle and upper reaches of Tuo river,but there is a trend that the location of the landslip monthly moves from southwester to northwestern Sichuan basin in May~August.(2) So many landslip occurs in Sichuan basin is due to the meteorological reason,namely,the rain areas provide abundant water for it.(3) There is a great possibility with mud-rock flow and landslip occurring if it is a sever heavy rain there,only a heavy rain or even just a rainfall with over 30 mm may trigger landslip in the southwester and middle-eastern Sichuan basin.(4) Besides the mud-rock flow and landslip related to the intensity of rain,geology and geomorphology,and it is also relevant with the preceding-rainfall.