Current Issue

28 February 2004, Volume 23 Issue 1   
  • Distribution, Changes of Atmospheric Precipitable Water over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and Its Surroundings and Their Changeable Precipitation Climate
  • CAI Ying;QIAN Zheng-an;WU Tong-wen;LIANG Xiao-yun;SONG Min-hong
  • 2004 Vol. 23 (1): 1-10. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (518KB) ( )
  • In this paper, the multiyear mean features and their seasonal, yearly and interdecadal changes for the air column precipitable water (hereafter PW) over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and its Surroundings (QXPS) have, wholly, not partly, been analyzed, utilizing the NCEP's monthly mean specific humidity, wind velocity and potential height reanalyzed gridded data and the observed rainfall data etc.The results show that there exist the considerably regional, seasonal, yearly and interdecadal changes of the air column PW over the QXPS.Over the QXPS there are the maximum PW over the South and East Asian Monsoon regions, with the value of 60mm or more in summer; the minimum PW over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (QXP), with only 3mm in winter.In East and South Asian Monsoon areas have the largest summer and winter seasonal changes of the PW, the PW values summer are four times as large as those winter.In recent four decades the air column PW over the North China and east part of Northwest China are continually being decreased; but has something increase tendency over the Changjiang river reaches and to the south of it since 1980's, namely with the distribution pattern of drying in the north and wetting in the south in China.On the other hand, there are the striking differences in the PW conversion rate into precipitation in various parts of China summer, with the highest rate in QXP, the second highest in East Asian Monsoon areas, the minimum one in south Xinjiang.
  • Predictability Analysis and Preliminary Application of the Bay of Bengal Summer Monsoon Onset
  • DUAN An-min;MAO Jiang-yu;WU Guo-xiong
  • 2004 Vol. 23 (1): 18-25. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (336KB) ( )
  • Based on thermal-wind relation and the fact that the essence of summer monsoon onset is a result of the change in land-sea thermal contrast, the relation between monsoon onset and the variation of the subtropical anticyclone is studied.The summer monsoon onset appears firstly over the eastern Bay of Bengal (BOB), then propagates regularly eastwards to the western Pacific by early June.Whenever the axis arrives at a region, the in situ lower-layer wind direction and the sign of meridional temperature gradient (MTG) in the upper-layer are changed, and monsoon onset occurs.Furthermore, the time required to overturn the MTG depends on the initial MTG as well as the averaged meridional differential heating before the monsoon onset.Based on these results, the daily and monthly NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data during March to May 1980-1999 were used to explore the predictability of the BOB monsoon onset.Results show that qualitative prediction of the BOB monsoon onset is possible by using the initial MTG and the climate mean meridional differential temperature variations.Moreover, there is significant correlation between the spring-time monthly-mean air temperature over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and the BOB summer monsoon onset.This provides additional clue for predicting the monsoon onset.These two methods have been utilized to predict the qualitative BOB monsoon onset in 2000 and 2001 correctly.However, detailed examination reveals that a satisfactory prediction of the BOB monsoon onset requires the consideration of the low-frequency variability of the atmospheric circulation.
  • Echo Structure for Splitting Process of A Long Life Cycle Thunder Cloud
  • ZHANG Hong-fa;ZUO Hong-chao;CHENG Chen-pin;GUO San-gang
  • 2004 Vol. 23 (1): 40-47. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (475KB) ( )
  • In studying the evolvement rule of severe hailstorm in Pingliang region, it is found that the severe local hailstorm on 13 August 1976 is a long life thunderstorm produced splitting process which form the supercell hailstorm having the leftward- and rightward-movements.Combining the sounding data and environment wind field, the echo characteristics of hailstorm produced splitting process were analyzed.The results show that, in the strong wind shear environment, the observed environment wind velocity 07:00 and 19:00 increases with hight, their u and v wind components appear opposite correlation, and also increase with hight.The calculated environment wind vector by the numerical model has weak anticyclonic rotation at 1~3 km hight, has the strong anticyclonic rotation at 4~8 km, and has the strong cyclonic rotation above 8 km, showing the thunderstorm produced splitting process has strong shear and wind velocity increased with height.After splitting, the leftward- and rightward- moving supercell hailstorms are to maintain and develop by itself, and generat the hail shooting.The evolution process in the whole thunderstorm is to maintain a long life cycle, the echo characteristic has four different stages.