Current Issue

28 June 2005, Volume 24 Issue 3   
  • Analyses on Changes of Surface Temperature over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau
  • LI Dong-liang;ZHONG Hai-ling;WU Qing-bai;ZHANG Yong-jun;HOU Yi-ling;TANG Mao-cang
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (3): 291-298. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (1942KB) ( )
  • The basic climate characteristics of winter,summer and annual mean surface temperatures were analyzed by using 86 stations over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau(QXP) during the period from beginning to 2001, and the spatial anomaly structure and time evolution tendency have been systematically diagnosed by principal component analysis, a periodic function and a random function and power spectral analysis methods. The result shows that the surface temperature is a function of elevation above sea level and latitude. The higher the elevation above sea level and latitudes are, the lower the surface temperature is. The annual mean surface temperature is 14.9℃ in Chayü of the Yaluzangbu River, and the maximum value of surface temperature in summer is 23.0℃ in Germu of Chaidamu Basin. The minimum value of annual mean surface temperature in center of Plateau is -0.2, in winter,-14.2~-15.8℃, in summer, 9.8℃ at Qingshuihe, The first loading vector of surface temperature anomaly over Plateau is with the same sign in whole Plateau. The second loading vectors have differences in the north and south. The variation of the first principal component had an obvious warming trend in the last 30 years, but the second principal components were weak cooling trend, and there are quasi-three to six year periodic oscillations for the interannual variation. The rates of linear temperature rising along north-and-south sections of railways are 0.42~0.58℃/10a, and the center is 0.32~0.39℃/10a.
  • The Prediction and Probability Estimation of Mean Maximum and Minimum Air Temperature along Qinghai-Xizang Railway
  • WANG Wen;LI Dong-liang;CHENG Guo-dong
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (3): 304-310. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (1330KB) ( )
  • The mean maximum and minimum temperature series are constructed utilizing the observations along Qinghai-Xizang railway seven stations from 1955 to 2000. It showed that the minimum temperature had been in lower period before 1975, and the lowest one which occurred in 1960's was 1.4℃ lower than normal; it was getting warmer after 1975 and it was 1.4℃ higher than normal in 2000. The maximum temperature was 0.1℃ warmer in 1960's than normal and 0.2℃ lower in 1970's and 1980's than normal, but it warmed up again since 1990's and 0.8℃ over the average in 2000. It is obviously that the temperature increased significantly during the period of 1955 to 2000, particularly the minimum temperature. The variation of future sunspot cycle length(SCL) was predicted by 5 significant cycle periods of the SCL in recent 1000 years, 41, 58, 76, 90 and 200 years, and the Gram-Schmidt method of mean generating function, the result showed that the SCL in the 21th century will be 1 year longer than in the 20th century, it will reach the longest cycle of 12.4 years in 2055 and turn to short period of 10.6 years in 2068. Also taking the doubling of carbon dioxide, as a prediction experiment, using the REEP method, the increasing temperature probability along Qinghai-Xizang railway was analyzed comparing with 1990's on the basis of the predicted decadal average temperature, it showed that the maximum (minimum) air temperature will increase 0.4℃ (2.4℃) in future 50 years with the probability 66% (74%); 1.4℃ (6.9℃) in 2001 with 85% (62%).
  • Modeling Study on Anomalous Snow Cover Effects over Western and Eastern Parts of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau
  • LIU Hua-qiang;SUN Zhao-bo;WANG Ju;MIN Jin-zhong
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (3): 357-365. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (2253KB) ( )
  • The anomalous snow cover effects over the western and eastern parts of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau(QXP) are compared by numerical simulations using the NCAR regional climate model (RegCM2) in which the gravity wave drag induced by subgrid-scale topography has been introduced. The simulations adopt relatively realistic snow mass forcings based on SMMR pentad snow depth data. The main results are summarized as follows: The heavier than normal snow cover over the western part of QXP can last more longer and has positive feedback on that over the eastern part of the Plateau, the former is favorable to the increasing of the latter, but the latter has little effects on the former. So, in contrast with the heavier than normal snow cover over the eastern part of QXP, when heavier than normal snow cover occurs over the western part of QXP, the total anomaly of snow cover over the Plateau is more obvious during the simulations. Both the heavier than normal snow cover over the western and eastern parts of QXP have effects on the atmospheric temperature and potential height fields, and their effects are with basically identical structure characteristics but with different strengths. The heavier than normal snow cover over the western part of QXP has more obvious effects on the regional atmospheric circulation in the later stages.
  • Zonal Symmetry Structure of Arctic Oscillation
  • YANG Xiao-yi;GUO Pin-wen;HU Yue-wen
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (3): 404-409. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (259KB) ( )
  • Using the monthly dataset of NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, the zonal structure of the Arctic Oscillation(AO) and its correlation with the zonal-mean zonal wind and the meridional circulation are studied. The results indicate that the zonal symmetry and annular mode predominate AO in wintertime and summertime, but more prominent in the AO active period in wintertime. With the shift of current zone and the attenuation of the polar vortex, the node of the summertime AO zonal symmetric mode transfers poleward compared with that of the wintertime AO. In corresponding with AO zonal symmetric mode, zonal-mean zonal wind exhibits dipolar pattern in winter which extends upward into stratosphere. In summertime this dipolar pattern weakens to great extent and limits in the bound of troposphere. Enhanced Ferrel cell and Hadley cell manifest themselves in mean meridional circulation anomaly in consistent with AO symmetric mode both in wintertime and summertime, which is in favor of the positive feedback of AO and thus the maintenance of AO mode.