Current Issue

28 October 2005, Volume 24 Issue 5   
  • Numerical Simulation of Mesoscale Convective System of Southern Branch Trough Heavy Rainfall in Yunnan Region
  • YAN Hong-ming;XIAO Zi-niu;ZHANG Xiao-ling;LI Jian-tong
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (5): 672-684. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (2280KB) ( )
  • A heavy rainfall case(11~13 May,2002) in Yunnan low-latitude plateau caused by Southern Trough was selected in the paper.The precipitation and circulation can be simulated successfully by MM5.Based on the high-resolution products of MM5 model,the structure characteristics of mesoscale convective system was studied.The results show that there is current convergence of southwest and southeast in the low levelbut predominant southwest wind in the upper level during the heavy rainfall period.On the southwest side of convergence line,an area with strong positive vorticity and strong convergence convection of warm and moisture air can be detected.Under the affection of cold air nearby the convergence line,the warm and moisture air ahead of trough converge and rise upward to result in heavy rainfall.The rainfall located on the southwest side of the area with strong positive vorticity,convergence and warm and moisture upward current on 700 hPa level.The evolution of the mesoscale convective system space structure is revealed in further analysis.During the early period of convective developing,the positive and negative vorticities are dispersed separately in vertical and horizontal directions and indicate multiple modes.The convergence and divergence,upward and downward motions present the same feature.But in the period of convective developing,it comes to single mode pattern,which is with positive vorticity,convergence and upward current in low level,but negative vorticity,divergence and downward current in upper level nearby the convergence line.The convergence is shallow in low level located between the land surface and 600 hPa.But the positive vorticity and upward current are much more deeper,which can reach 400 hPa to 200 hPa levels.The slant vertical structure is noted in the low-latitude plateau mesoscale convective system, which slops from surface convergence area to northeast upper level(to higher latitudes).This incline characteristic of vertical structure is different from that of the mesoscale convective system over South China.
  • Prediction of 0 cm Average Ground Surface Temperature Changes along Qinghai-Xizang Railway
  • LI Dong-liang;GUO Hui;LI Yue-qing;ZHONG Hai-lin
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (5): 685-693. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (1698KB) ( )
  • The annual average 0 cm ground surface temperature of the stations along the Qinghai-Xizang railway correlated well to each other,especially the correlation of 10-year running mean average sequences of them,which is as high as 0.92.According to the results,the 0 cm average ground surface temperature series along the Qinghai-Xizang railway from 1961 to 2003 are constructed.The results show that: The 0 cm ground temperature increased about 1.1~1.5℃ during the past 40 years.The warming ratio of it is 0.44℃/10a.The effects of increased the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations(CO2) will be favorable torise up the 0 cm ground temperature along the Qinghai-Xizang railway,but vice versa for sunspot cycle length(SCL) before year 2030.The response between 0 cm ground temperature and both the atmospheric CO2 concentrations and SCL have lagging about 10 years respectively.Based on the predictions of the future atmospheric concentrations of CO2 and SCL,the 0 cm ground temperature along the Qinghai-Xizang railway could be the warmest about in 2010,and then,it maybe lower thanthe average values of 1970's to 1990's,would decrease evidently till about 2030.The next round calefaction of the 0 cm ground temperature along the Qinghai-Xizang railway could begin in 2040. Considering the combined effects of both CO2 concentrations and SCL,the average minimum,the maximum and annual 0 cm ground temperatures along the Qinghai-Xizang railway would increase 0.2℃,1.0℃ and 0.6℃ during the next 50 years.
  • Interdecadal Change Trend of Surface Air and Ground Temperatures along Qinghai-Xizang Railway and Relationship between the Change and Terrain
  • LI Dong-liang;LIU Miao;ZHONG Hai-ling;WU Qing-bai
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (5): 694-699. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (1278KB) ( )
  • The monthly mean surface air temperature,0 cm ground temperature of weather stations along Qinghai-Xizang railway from beginning to 2002 are analyzed.Seasonal and annual mean temperature data are found from 1961 to 2002 by using interpolation.The analyzed result showed that the variation of temperature is obviously along Qinghai-Xizang railway in recent 40 years.The temperature ascending rate is the most obvious in winter and autumn.The temperature ascending rates are 0.41℃/10a and 0.40℃/10a respectively.The temperature ascending rate in spring is only 0.23℃/10a.The ascending rates of annual mean air temperature and 0 cm ground temperature are 0.33℃/10a and 0.37℃/10a respectively,and 0 cm ground temperature ascending rate is faster than air temperature ascending rate.The temperature ascending rate have anticorrelation with sea level elevation,and its coherency coefficient is 0.807.The temperature ascending rate decrease with sea level elevation increasing.The temperature ascending rate in basin is higher than temperature ascending rate in mountain.There is 0.767 coefficient of coherency between the variations of 0 cm ground temperature and air temperature.In comparatively colder times,the fluctuation extent of air temperature is bigger than the fluctuation extent of 0 cm ground temperature.In comparatively warmer times,the ascending of 0 cm ground temperature is faster then air temperature.
  • Response of Permafrost over Qinghai Plateau to Climate Warming
  • WANG Qing-chun;LI Lin;LI Dong-liang;QING Ning-sheng;WANG Zhen-yu;ZHU Xi-de;SHI Xin-he
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (5): 708-713. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (1363KB) ( )
  • Using the annual averaged ground surface temperature data of meteorological observation over Qinghai Plateau,the relationship models of annual mean ground temperature and altitude as well as latitude/longitude are established,combining with geographic information analysis system and DEM data,the permafrost distribution map over Qinghai Plateau is also simulated,the response of permafrost to climate warming and its impacting on ecology environment over Qinghai Plateau are finally analyzed.The results show that the permafrost area of Plateau is decreasing while its bottom is ascending with the global warming, especially,this kind of degeneration is getting more significant over the disconnected margin of permafrost and island-like region of permafrost.Comparing with 1960's,the distribution height of permafrost bottom in 1990's over Plateau has been ascending approximately 71 m,while the seasonal depth of permafrost has decreased to 19 cm.The spatial distribution characteristic of annual variation of maximum permafrost depth corresponds with the spatial characteristic of air temperature variation over Qinghai Plateau in 40 years.
  • Analyses on Atmospheric Stratification Characteristics of Thunderstorms over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau
  • ZHANG Cui-hua;YAN Mu-hong;DONG Wan-sheng;ZHANG Yi-jun
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (5): 741-747. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (290KB) ( )
  • The thunderstorm activity is very frequent in summer in Naqu district of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.It occurs in the consequence of thermal and dynamic effects topographically.The storms are usually not very severe,with the maximum radar reflectivity not exceeding 40 dBz in general.The relative cloud top can extend to 10.0~13.0 km,with little differences between severe and weak thunderstorms.The thunderstorm occurs usually at 13:00~19:00 Beijing time,the peak value appears at 16:00 or so,and the duration is about 30 minutes.Weak convection occurs sometimes in nighttime with maximum reflectivity of about 20 dBz.The atmospheric stratification of the Plateau storm is totally different from that of plain storm.The thunderstorm on plateau is usually instable on whole layers,up to the height of 100 hPa,and with low instable energy.The CAPE value of severe thunderstorm is about 782 J·kg-1 on average and that of weak 406 J·kg-1 approximately.The CAPE is homogeneously distributed without instable stratification of large energy.The inverse humidity occurs near ground with thickness about 1~2 km and the value of 60%~80% on average(after the rainy season).The atmospheric stratification forementioned is similar for both the heavy and weak thunderstorms;it can stimulate convection with large developing height but little intensity and energy.This special stratification revealed the particular structure of thunderstorms on plateau.The developing intensity of thunderstorm is characterized by its lightning frequency.Usually a statistical dependence can be established between the lightning frequency and the singular parameter of thunderstorms such as the height of cloud top;whether the thunderstorm is heavy or weak can be predicted by measuring the lightning frequency.However it is unsuitable for thunderstorms on plateau;a synthetic relation has to be established between the lightning frequency and the multi-parameters of thunderstorm.
  • Observation Study on Mass Concentration of Dust Aerosols in Dunhuang
  • LIU Li-chao;SHEN Zhi-bao;WANG Tao;Zhou Mao-xian;Sadayo Yabuki;Shinji Kanayama
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (5): 765-771. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (1329KB) ( )
  • The physical and chemical characteristics of dust aerosols originated from desert area of northern China attracted more and more attentions in recent year,whereas most of studies are based on the short-term observation or typical dust events.In the last 30 months,a long-term study on dust aerosol was conducted using high-volume sampler and Anderson sampler in Dunhuang,which is located in the west part of Hexi corridor and well known as one of the most important dust source in China.The basic mass concentration characteristics of dust aerosol are obtained.The annual change features of total mass concentration of dust aerosol shows the close correlation with those of meteorological data.On the average,the amounts of TSP mass concentration shows different quantitative levels and distinct distributions of mass concentration-particle size during different weather conditions.The comparative analysis with experimental results from Shapotou regions shows that mass concentration of the dust aerosol is lower in clear atmosphere and much higher during dust events.
  • Analyses of A Yunnan Rainstorm Process Influenced by the "Imbudo" Typhoon
  • GUO Rong-fen;LU Ya-bin;LI Yan;HAI Yun-sha;GAO Min-qi
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (5): 784-791. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (1068KB) ( )
  • Using the routine data of Micaps,FY-2 satellite infrared enhanced image and CINRAD-CC rada data,the rainstorm process in Yunnan province at 20:00 on 25~26 July 2003 caused by the Imbudo typhoon moving westward was analyzed.The result showed that because the westward extension and strengthning of subtropical high,the strong southerly low level jet on the west edge makes the moving westward tropical cyclones in Yunnan to maintain and strengthen and that the MβCS devolopes into MαCS-MCC within the typhoon low depression system in the boundaries of Yunnan province under the favorable large-scale background.It is found that the unstable energy accumulation and water vapour convergence in the lower layer of troposphere are a trigger mechanism of this rainstorm by index K,θse,ageostrophic wet Q-vector and ageostrophic wet Q-vector divergence.The orographic lifting leads to the developing of typhoon low pressure,which is one of the import reasons of this heavy rainstorm.Dopplar rada echo showed that there was obvious cyclonic spiral band echo on large-scale and it combines with the several short strong echo bands.In Doppler rada speed picture,the anti-wind zone,cyclonic convergence zone,gale zone and durative warm advection are the direct synoptic systems of causing this rainstorm.
  • Changes of Surface Average Air Temperature in Lanzhou under Background of Global Warming
  • LIN Shu;WU Hong
  • 2005 Vol. 24 (5): 816-822. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (1300KB) ( )
  • Using the month-to-month surface average air temperature of Lanzhou from 1932 to 2002,the basic weather characteristic,interdecadal change,abnomal cold and warm change trends of temperature in Lanzhou in 71 years are analyzed.The analyzed results show that there are two warm periods and a cold period about the air temperature of four seasons in 71 years.The warming of first warm period is mainly in spring,summer and autumn,and winter is in the cold period.The second warm periods first start from winter,there is continuous significant warming after an interval of 1~2 years among four seasons.The warming argument in the second warm periods is obvious higher than that of the first warm period,and its duration is longer than that of one too.The significant feature of four seasons is to warm at the same time,the warming argument in winter is the biggest.The 1960's is the coldest 10 years,the temperature drop in summer is the most obvious.The 1990's is the warmest 10 years.the winter warming is the most obvious. The abnomal frequency occurred in 1990's is the most,next in the 1960's and 1970's,and the least in the 1980's.The average air temperature has rised with linear trend of 1.4℃/100a in Lanzhou since 71 years,the rate of temperature increasing in winter and autumn is the highest in the last 10 years.