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24 March 1992, Volume 11 Issue 1   
  • AN ALTERED KUO-TYPE CUMULUS PARAMETERIZATION SCHEME SUITABLE FOR THE QINGHAI-XIZANG PLATEAU AREA
  • Chen Bomin;Qian Zhengan
  • 1992 Vol. 11 (1): 1-11. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (654KB) ( )
  • In this paper, utilizing a limited area model with full physical processes and the complex terrain, and the FGGE level-Ⅲb data for June to July 1979, firstly, the performances of originally modified Kuo-type parameterization scheme (hereafter the original scheme) over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (hereafter the Plateau) have been examined. Then according to its deficiencies and considering the characteristics of cumulus activities over the Plateau, an altered Krishnamurti multiple regression approach is adopted to include the mesoscale source of moisture supply and to fit the moistening coefficient b and mesoscale convergence parameter η through the observed divergence as well as the stratification stability over the Plateau ( hereafter the new scheme). Finally, using the new scheme a set of nine case 24-h forecasts and their diagnoses are carried out. The results show: the original scheme tends to obviously overforecast the precipitation over the Plateau; the new one makes a considerable improvement in forecasts of the rainfall and circulation both over the Plateau and east of China; besides, the values of moistening coefficient b and the vertical profiles of heating and moistening over the Plateau calculated by the new scheme get more reasonable.
  • A CASE STUDY ON NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF SUMMER VORTEX OVER QINGHAI-XIZANG(TIBETAN) PLATEAU
  • Luo Siwei;Yang Yang
  • 1992 Vol. 11 (1): 39-48. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (718KB) ( )
  • In this paper using mesoscale model MM 4 of NCAR USA, the genesis and development process of a Plateau vortex on 500 hPa had been studied by numerical experiments, and simulations in 00 UTC 29-30 June 1979. After comparing analysis of these 6 experiments and simulations with adiabatic and diabatic processes, with and without surface heat flux(sensible heat and evaporation) and with whole orography and half orography, the following preliminary results are obtained:(1) The 24h forecast of vortex center position at 500 hPa nearly coincides well with synoptical map; the 24h forecast of the mean intensity near vortex center approaches to the actual situation and that of rainfall approaches to the observation too with exception of less intensity and some differences in position. So we think that the forecast is fundamentally reasonable.(2) The most contribution of vorticity to the vortex(22.6×10 -5 s -1) is caused by the diabatic process and only 6.0×10 -5 s -1 belongs to contribution of dynamical process. In the total vorticity 22.6×10 -5 s -1 caused by diabatic process the contribution(8.0×10 -5 s -1) of latent heat is much less than that(14.6×10 -5 s -1) of surface heat flux which is caused by convection of cumulus cloud and turbulence. In the contribution of surface heat flux the most part of vorticity(13.4×10 -5 s -1) is due to the surface sensible heat and the surface evaporation plays a little role(1.2×10 -5 s -1). These are the same as the results of diagnostic analysis obtained in the first part [6] of this case study.(3)When the orography is raised from half height to the whole the dynamical contribution to vortex intencity is strengthened from 2.0 to 6.0×10 -5 s -1 and the diabatic contribution from 7.2 to 22.6×10 -5 s -1. From this we know that it is very important how to correctly treat topographical height in the model. Although only one case is studied here the result(2) is supported by the statistical one of diagnosticaljanalyses for 81 vortices.
  • THE RESEARCH OF RECENT CLIMATIC CHANGE TENDENCY IN SPRING IN THE MAO WU SU SAND REGION
  • Sun Anjian;Liu Desong;Qu Jianhe
  • 1992 Vol. 11 (1): 73-82. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (593KB) ( )
  • By using the meteorological data at five stations(Etoke, Dongsheng, Yanchi, Yulin, Ushenqi)in the Mao Wu Su sand region in spring during recent 40-years, we have discussed in detail climatic evolution tendencies of the factors related to desertification processes. These factors include aridity coefficients, cloud cover, precipitation, humidity, wind speed and wind sand days. The results show that it was wetter in the 1960's and became drier in the 1970's and wetter in 1980's in spring. If it is true to exist a quasi-ten years oscillation, it would be drier in spring of 1990's. The power spectrums have been analysed for time series(1955-1988) of precipitation and aridity coefficient in spring at the five stations, respectively. The pronounced period throgh significance test at significance level of 0.05 are two to three and eight to nine years for both precipitation and aridity coefficient each station. The oscillation of 2-3 years may be associated with SST of tropical oceans, the subtropical high over the western Pacific and cold air activity in the northern hemisphere that all have the same periodic oscillation. The regression prediction models have been set up for both precipitation and aridity coefficient in spring each station, respectively. Based on theses models, we can predict the precipitation and aridity coefficients in spring in this region for three months or half a year in advance. Finally, we discuss the impact of human activity on desertification. We point out that different human intervention on nature will bring about various climatic effects in the same climatic environment.