Current Issue

24 September 1998, Volume 17 Issue 3   
  • THE EFFECT OF METHOD FOR CONSTRUCTING INITIAL FIELD ON NUMERICAL FORECAST OF RAINFALL
  • YU Xiao-ding
  • 1998 Vol. 17 (3): 310-316. 
  • Abstract ( ) PDF (272KB) ( )
  • The HIRLAM model(a limited area numerical weather forecasting model developed by the Nordic countries) was applied to the summer heavy rain cases in China to study the effect of the methods for constructing initial fields on numerical rainfall forecasts of a limited area model. Two methods for constructing the initial fields are compared: one initial fields is provided by the HIRLAM's own data assimilation system, another is given by interpolating the ECMWF global model's analysis fields into the HIRLAM grids. The two numerical experiments corresponding to these two methods for constructing the initial fields are the control experiment(CONL) and the comparison experiment(COMP), respectively. The rainfall predicted by CONL and COMP are compared with observation, the results show:(1) when the resolution of ECMWF global model, whose analysis is used to provide initial fields for HIRLAM model in COMP run, is considerably lower than that of HIRLAM model, the rainfall forecast is markedly improved in CONL in which the initial fields are provided by HIRLAM's own data assimilation system, in comparison with that in COMP.(2) when ECMWF model and HIRLAM model approximately equal resolution, the qualities of rainfall forecasts in CONL and COMP turn out to be at nearly the same level in spite of the supposed better consistency between initial fields, model dynamics and model's topography in CONL.