[1]Alexander L, Zhang X, Peterson T C, et al. 2006. Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation[J]. JGeophys Res, 111(D5):1-22.
[2]Chen B, Chao W C, Liu X. 2003. Enhanced climatic warming in the Tibetan Plateau due to doubling CO<sub>2</sub>:a model study[J]. Climate Dyn, 20(4):401-413.
[3]Duan A M, Wu G X. 2006. Change of cloud amount and the climate warming on the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Geophys Res Lett, 33(22):217-234.
[4]Duan A, Wu G, Zhang Q, et al. 2006. New proofs of the recent climate warming over the Tibetan Plateau as a result of the increasing greenhouse gases emissions[J]. Chinese Sci Bull, 51(11):1396-1400.
[5]Feng L, Zhou T J. 2012. Water vapor transport for summer precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau:Multi-dataset analysis[J]. J Geophys Res, 117, 117(D20):20114.
[6]Feng L, Zhou T, Wu B, et al. 2011. Projection of future precipitation change over China with a high-resolution global atmospheric model[J]. Adv Atmos Sci, 28(2), 464-476.
[7]Gao X J, Shi Y, Giorgi F. 2011. A high resolution simulation of climate change over China[J]. Science China Earth Sciences, 54(3):462-472.
[8]Gao X J, Shi Y, Zhang D F, et al. 2012. Uncertainties in monsoon precipitation projections over China:Results from two high resolution RCM simulations[J]. Climate Res, 52:213-226.
[9]Gao X J, Wang M L, Giorgi F. 2013. Climate change over China in the 21<sup>st</sup> century as simulated by BCC_CSM1. 1-RegCM4. 0[J]. Atmos Ocean Sci Lett, 6(5):381-386.
[10]Gao X, Shi Y, Song R, et al. 2008. Reduction of future monsoon precipitation over China:comparison between a high resolution RCM simulation and the driving GCM[J]. Meteor Atmos Phys, 100(1):73-86.
[11]IPCC. 2000. Special Report on Emissions Scenarios[M]. Edited by Nakicenovic Hetal. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press.
[12]Kusunoki S, Mizuta R, Matsueda M. 2011. Future changes in the East Asian rain band projected by global atmospheric models with 20-km and 60-km grid size[J]. Climate Dyn, 37(11):2481-2493.
[13]Kusunoki S, Mizuta R. 2008. Future changes in the Baiu rain band projected by a 20-km mesh global atmospheric model:Sea surface temperature dependence[J]. Sola, 4:85-88.
[14]Kusunoki S, Yoshimura J, Yoshimura H, et al. 2006. Change of Baiu Rain Band in Global Warming Projection by an Atmospheric General Circulation Model with a 20-km Grid Size[J]. J Meteor Soc Japa, 84(4):581-611.
[15]Li H M, Feng L, Zhou T J. 2011a. Multi-model projection of July-August climate extreme changes over China under CO<sub>2</sub> doubling. Part Ⅰ:Precipitation[J]. Adv Atmos Sci, 28(2), 433-447.
[16]Li H M, Feng L, Zhou T J. 2011b. Multi-model projection of July-August climate extreme changes over China under CO<sub>2</sub> doubling. Part Ⅱ:Temperature[J]. Adv Atmos Sci, 28(2), 448-463.
[17]Liu X D, Chen B D. 2000. Climatic warming in the Tibetan Plateau during recent decades[J]. Int J Climatol, 20(14):1729-1742.
[18]Meehl G A. 2007. Global climate projections, in Climate Change 2007:The Physical Science Basis:Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. Edited by Solomon S, et al. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press.
[19]Meehl G, Arblaster J, Tebaldi C. 2005. Understanding future patterns of increased precipitation intensity in climate model simulations[J]. Geophys Res Lett, 32(18), 1-4.
[20]Peterson T. 2005. Climate change indices[J]. WMO Bulletin, 54(2):83-86.
[21]Su F G, Duan X L, Chen D L, et al. 2013. Evaluation of the global climate models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau[J]. J Climate, 26(10):3187-3208.
[22]Wang B, Bao, Hoskins B, et al. 2008. Tibetan Plateau warming and precipitation changes in East Asia[J]. J Geophys Res, 35(14):63-72.
[23]Xu J, Yu S, Liu J, et al. 2009. The implication of heat and water balance changes in a lake basin on the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Hydrological Research Letters, 3:1-5.
[24]Xu Y, Gao X J, Giorgi F. 2009. Regional variability of climate change hot-spot in East Asia[J]. Adv Atmos Sci, 26(4):783-792.
[25]You Q, Kang S C, Aguilar E, et al. 2008. Changes in daily climate extremes in the eastern and central Tibetan Plateau during 1961-2005[J]. J Geophys Res, 113(D7):1639-1647.
[26]Yukimoto S, Noda A, Kitoh A, et al. 2006. The Meteorological Research Institute Coupled GCM, Version 2. 3(MRI-CGCM2. 3)-Control climate and climate sensitivity[J]. J Meteor Soc Japan, 84:333-363.
[27]Zhai P, Zhang X, Wan H, et al. 2005. Trends in total precipitation and frequency of daily precipitation extremes over China[J]. J Climate, 18:1096-1108.
[28]Zhou T J, Yu R C, Chen H M, Dai A G, et al. 2008. Summer precipitation frequency, intensity, and diurnal cycle over China:A comparison of satellite data with raingauge observations[J]. J Climate, 21(16):3997-4010.
[29]Zhou T J, Yu R C. 2005. Atmospheric water vapor transport associated with typical anomalous summer rainfall patterns in China[J]. J Geophys Res, 110(8):211-211.
[30]Feng Lei, Zhou Tianjun. 2015. Simulation of summer precipitation and associated water vapor transport over the Tibetan Plateau by Meteorological Research Institute model[J]. Chinese J Atmos Sci, 39(2):385-396.<br/>冯蕾, 周天军. 2015.高分辨率MRI模式对青藏高原夏季降水及水汽输送通量的模拟[J].大气科学, 39(2):386-398.
[31]Gao Xuejie, Li Dongliang, Zhao Zongci, et al. 2003. Numerical simulation for influence of greenhouse effects on climatic change of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau along Qinghai-Xizang railway[J]. Plateau Meteor, 22(5):458-463.<br/>高学杰, 李栋梁, 赵宗慈, 等. 2003.温室效应对我国青藏高原及青藏铁路沿线气候影响的数值模拟[J].高原气象, 22(5):458-463.
[32]Hu Qin, Jiang Dabang, Fan Guangzhou. 2015. Climate change projection on the Tibetan Plateau:Results of CMIP5 models[J]. Chinese J Atmos Sci, 39(2):260-270.<br/>胡芩, 姜大膀, 范广洲. 2015.青藏高原未来气候变化预估:CMIP5模式结果[J].大气科学, 39(2):260-270.
[33]Xie Chengying, Li Minjiao, Zhang Xueqing, et al. 2015. Moisture transport features in summer and its rainfall effects over key region in southern margin of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau[J]. Plateau Meteor, 34(2):327-337.<br/>解承莹, 李敏娇, 张雪芹, 等. 2015.青藏高原南缘关键区夏季水汽输送特征及其与高原降水的关系[J].高原气象, 34(2):327-337.
[34]Xu Jianyu, Wang Huijuan, Li Hongyi. 2014. Preliminary simulation analysis of moisture budget over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in summer[J]. Plateau Meteor, 33(5):1173-1181.<br/>许建玉, 王慧娟, 李宏毅. 2014.夏季青藏高原地区水汽收支的初步模拟分析[J].高原气象, 33(5):1173-1181.
[35]Zheng Ran, Li Dongliang, Jiang Yuanchun, et al. 2015. New characteristics of temperature change over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau on the background of global warming[J]. Plateau Meteor, 34(6):1531-1539.<br/>郑然, 李栋梁, 蒋元春, 等. 2015.全球变暖背景下青藏高原气温变化的新特征[J].高原气象, 34(6):1531-1539.