网格气象要素产品在讨赖河流域的水文适用性分析

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  • 1. 甘肃省水利厅 讨赖河流域水资源利用中心,甘肃 酒泉 735000
    2. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,甘肃 兰州 730000
    3. 忻州师范学院地理系,山西 忻州 034000

网络出版日期: 2025-07-22

基金资助

甘肃省2023年水利科研与技术推广项目(23GSLK032);甘肃省2024年水利科研与技术推广项目(24GSLK063

The Applicability of Gridded Products for Streamflow Simulation in the Taolai River Basin 

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  • 1. Water Resources Utilization Center of Taolai River BasinGansu Provincial Water Resources DepartmentJiuquan 735000GansuChina
    2. Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and ResourcesChinese Academy of SciencesLanzhou 730000GansuChina
    3. Department of GeographyXinzhou Normal UniversityXinzhou 034000ShanxiChina

Online published: 2025-07-22

摘要

网格降水、潜在蒸散发(PET)、地表温度产品为无资料地区的水文模拟提供了可供选择的数据来源,但是其在具体区域的水文应用还需做进一步的评估。本研究针对不同的缺资料情形,基于 HBVlight 水文模型综合评估了 6 种网格降水产品(CHIRPSCMORPHGPMGSMaPMSWEP PERSI‐ANN)、3种潜在蒸散发产品(GLDASGLEAM ERA5-Land)和 1种地表温度产品(MOD11A1)及其组合在讨赖河流域的水文适用性,分析了不同降水和潜在蒸散发输入对实际蒸散发、土壤水分等水文变量的影响,据此提出不同缺资料情形的水文模拟策略。结果表明:不同降水产品驱动的径流模拟效果在讨赖河流域的表现各异,其中GPMMSWEP数据驱动的径流模拟效果较好,其验证期的NSENash-Sut‐cliffe Efficiency)分别为0. 580. 54。在缺乏降水数据时,推荐使用GPMMSWEP降水产品作为降水的替代数据源。潜在蒸散发产品的选择则对径流模拟的影响较小,验证期的NSE介于0. 61~0. 74。若仅关注径流模拟的精度,GLDASGLEAMERA5-Land产品均可作为潜在蒸散发的替代数据源。在缺乏地表温度数据时,MOD11A1产品驱动的径流模拟在验证期的NSE0. 61。在缺乏所有的气象数据资料时,最优的产品组合为GPMMSWEP与其他3套潜在蒸散发产品组合,其在率定期和验证期的NSE均在 0. 53以上。综合来看,网格产品能在一定程度上弥补无资料或缺资料地区水文模拟的不足,未来可以结合更多的流域对其适用性进行进一步评估。

本文引用格式

康德奎, 刘开清, 司建华, 马保龙, 贾 冰, 朱海洋, 刘永宝, 王春林 . 网格气象要素产品在讨赖河流域的水文适用性分析[J]. 高原气象, 0 : 1 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2025.00077

Abstract

Gridded precipitationpotential evapotranspirationPET),and land surface temperatureLSTdata‐ sets provide valuable alternatives for hydrologic modeling in ungauged areas. Howevertheir performance in specific regions requires further investigation. This study evaluates six gridded precipitation productsCHIRPSCMORPHGPMGSMaPMSWEPand PERSIANN),three PET productsGLDASGLEAMand ERA5- Land),and one LST productMOD11A1in the Taolai River Basin. The effects of different precipitation and PET inputs on actual evapotranspirationAETand soil moisture were also analyzed. The results indicate that runoff simulations vary significantly depending on the precipitation product used. GPM and MSWEP perform bestachieving Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencyNSEvalues of 0. 58 and 0. 54respectivelyduring the validation period. These two products are reliable alternatives for precipitation sources in data-scarce scenarios. In contrastthe selection of PET products exhibits limited impact on runoff simulationswith the NSE values ranging from 0. 61 to 0. 74. If runoff simulation accuracy is the primary concernthe GLDASGLEAMand ERA5-Land products are suitable substitutes. Additionallywhen surface temperature data are unavailablethe MOD11A1 product achieves an NSE of 0. 61 during the validation period. For scenarios with no meteorological observationscombining GPM or MSWEP precipitation data with any of the three PET products and MOD11A1 yields NSE values exceeding 0. 53 in both calibration and validation periods. This study confirms that gridded datasets can partially mitigate hydrological simulation challenges in data-scarce regionswhile recommending expanded applicability assessments across more basins to enhance reliability.

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